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	<title>doctorvee &#187; Scottish Parliament</title>
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	<description>Not a real vee</description>
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		<title>Scottish Vote Compass</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2011/04/14/scottish-vote-compass/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2011/04/14/scottish-vote-compass/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Apr 2011 21:16:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Current affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scotland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberal Democrats]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Scottish Parliament]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=5012</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It has become de rigueur for every election to have at least one online quiz that tells you how you should vote. The 2011 Scottish Parliament electon has Scottish Vote Compass. I have not exactly found myself becoming hooked on the Scottish Parliament election campaign. To be honest, I care much more about the alternative [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It has become <em>de rigueur</em> for every election to have at least one online quiz that tells you how you should vote. The 2011 Scottish Parliament electon has <a href="http://www.scottishvotecompass.org/">Scottish Vote Compass</a>.</p>
<p>I have not exactly found myself becoming hooked on the Scottish Parliament election campaign. To be honest, I care much more about the alternative vote referendum. Nevertheless, I thought I would give it a go and see what it said.</p>
<p>On this chart, I am represented by the star icon towards the bottom-right.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.scottishvotecompass.org/"><img src="http://doctorvee.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/scottish-vote-compass.png" alt="My position on the Scottish Vote Compass" title="Scottish Vote Compass" width="530" height="522" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-5013" /></a></p>
<p>It is perhaps no real surprise to learn that the Liberal Democrats are my closest match. The Greens are second apparently, although it doesn&#8217;t really look like it from the graph to me.</p>
<p>While I was at it, I decided to once again take the daddy of all political quizzes, the original <a href="http://politicalcompass.org/">Political Compass</a>.</p>
<p>This time my score was:<br />
<strong>Economic Left/Right:</strong> 0.50<br />
<strong>Social Libertarian/Authoritarian:</strong> -6.51</p>
<p>So I have moved a bit to the left, and have become slightly less libertarian, since the last time I took it in 2009 &#8212; <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/04/a-second-opinion/">a reversal of the trend</a>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Why a Conservative—Lib Dem coalition may not be a bad thing</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2010/05/08/why-a-conservative%e2%80%94lib-dem-coalition-may-not-be-a-bad-thing/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2010/05/08/why-a-conservative%e2%80%94lib-dem-coalition-may-not-be-a-bad-thing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 May 2010 19:01:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[UK General Election 2010]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=4203</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[No doubt, election night was a very disappointing one for me. I was involved in the Liberal Democrat campaign in Dunfermline, and I attended the count. There was disappointment in Dunfermline &#8212; but we always expected it to be very difficult to hang on there. So while it was very disappointing to lose in Dunfermline, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No doubt, election night was a very disappointing one for me. I was involved in the Liberal Democrat campaign in Dunfermline, and I attended the count.</p>
<p>There was disappointment in Dunfermline &#8212; but we always expected it to be very difficult to hang on there. So while it was very disappointing to lose in Dunfermline, I was, in a way, braced for it.</p>
<p>The national story was, however, different. I first heard news about the exit poll at about 22.10. I was crestfallen, but hoped that the poll was wrong. By the time I emerged from the count just after 2am, it was clear that nationally the picture was pretty bleak for the Liberal Democrats.</p>
<p>It was a real blow given that there was so much to be hopeful about during the campaign. Even though the Lib Dems had clearly fallen back to third place in the opinion polls in the last week of the campaign, it was still a very strong third place in comparison to what the Lib Dems will have been expecting before the first televised Prime Ministerial debate.</p>
<p>Even taking into account the perverse voting system used in Westminster elections, I thought a good result would be more than 80 seats, and I was expecting some sort of gain at the very least. For the Lib Dems to actually lose seats absolutely shocked me.</p>
<h3>Voters have crude tools to send out complex messages</h3>
<p>It is clear that lots of people voted for complicated tactical reasons on polling day. From what I have heard, it was clear on the doorsteps in Dunfermline on Thursday that even hard Lib Dems were switching to Labour on the last day.</p>
<p>Even among voters for whom the Lib Dems are their first choice, it seems as though waking up on Thursday with David Cameron&#8217;s posh face on the front page all of the Conservative-supporting newspapers calibrated people&#8217;s minds back to the old-fashioned mindset that an election is a two-way contest between the Conservatives and Labour.</p>
<p>That is why the opinion polls in the run-up to the general election came out with such a different message to the final exit poll. Essentially the polls ask two different questions. When you are asked about the general election before polling day, you tend to think of it in more abstract terms. People think about their genuine favourite.</p>
<p>But for some people standing in the polling station holding the stubby pencil under the spotlight, it all seems a bit different. Voters aren&#8217;t stupid. They know that the voting system really makes the contest a fight between Labour and the Conservatives. So many people were voting on the issue of who they disliked least between David Cameron and Gordon Brown, rather than who was their favourite candidate on the ballot paper.</p>
<p>That is certainly what happened in Dunfermline and West Fife. Labour&#8217;s leaflets made much of the fact that the general election was a contest between Labour and the Conservatives. Despite the personal popularity of Willie Rennie, the SNP&#8217;s voters shifted <em>en masse</em> to Labour.</p>
<p>Willie Rennie&#8217;s share of the vote went down only slightly, from 35.8% to 35.1% on a much higher turnout. But the SNP collapsed &#8212; going from 21.0% in 2006 to just 10.6% on Thursday. Nationalists switched to Labour to send an anti-Tory message.</p>
<p>It seems as though the picture was the same across the country, with tactical voting winning out. The swings were all over the shop across the country, as voters attempted to send out a complex message with only the crude tool of the inadequate first past the post voting system available to them.</p>
<h3>Electoral reform must now be at the top of the agenda</h3>
<p>This is why electoral reform is essential. It is not just about the fact that the parties&#8217; share of the seats bears little relation to the share of the votes. It is that it fundamentally alters the behaviour of voters, forcing them to vote for what they <em>don&#8217;t</em> want more than what they <em>do</em> want. Voters must at least be given the opportunity to express <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2007/12/17/electoral-reform-a-different-answer/">more than one preference</a>.</p>
<p>It is no surprise that the big story of the day has been about the <a href="http://www.takebackparliament.com/">demonstrations for electoral reform</a>. With a result like this, and a hung parliament, there has never been a better chance to change the voting system. It now must be the top priority. We must not allow it to be swept under the carpet once again, as Labour did in 1997.</p>
<p>But there are bigger hurdles to negotiate than just the voting system. It has become clear to me in the past couple of days that <strong>major cultural change is also required</strong>.</p>
<p>Many people have a poisonous obsession with &#8220;strong government&#8221;. Strong government is not what is needed. In fact, strong government is dangerous government. For some reason, the idea that someone can just push through their policies without having to seek the agreement of others is not really on. Why cross-party support is supposed to be a bad thing is beyond me.</p>
<h3>Clegg correct to consider Conservative coalition</h3>
<p>Then we come to the hoo-ha over the potential that the Lib Dems might reach an agreement with the Conservatives. I find it most odd that Liberal Democrat voters, who are in favour of some form of proportional representation, should be getting into a flap about this.</p>
<p>It seems like a straightforward equation. If you want proportional representation, you expect to need coalitions to form a government (or have a minority government). This means potentially having to work with parties that you may not agree with. It&#8217;s called compromise. We need to be grown up enough to accept it.</p>
<p>In this instance, it has always been made clear by Nick Clegg that he would talk first to the party that had the most seats in the House of Commons. That is the Conservative party, and it is right that he should explore the option.</p>
<p>The alternative option of propping up Gordon Brown, a deeply unpopular Prime Minister whose party made significant losses on Thursday, would in turn expose the Lib Dems to accusations of being undemocratic. It would also make them deeply unpopular among non-Labour voters.</p>
<p>Not only that, but the arithmetic doesn&#8217;t really add up. Labour plus the Lib Dems wouldn&#8217;t have enough seats, so you need to throw in some other parties too. There is talk about bringing in the SNP and Plaid Cymru and other yet smaller parties. But it seems like some desperate scraping of the rusty barrel.</p>
<p>Liberal Democrats &#8212; and the electorate as a whole &#8212; should be mature about this situation. True, the Lib Dems should not just join up with the Tories unless they make significant concessions &#8212; and electoral reform must be at the very top of the agenda. But the option should always be considered.</p>
<p>Otherwise, the Lib Dems risk becoming a mere appendage of the Labour party. That is what has happened in the Scottish Parliament, with the result that they have become completely impotent; an electoral irrelevance. If you think the Lib Dems should only ever consider talking to Labour, then you would probably be better off joining the Labour party. The Lib Dems need to be brave and flex their muscles, otherwise they will become Labour&#8217;s lapdog.</p>
<p>The Liberal Democrats is not just a &#8220;left wing&#8221; party. It is a liberal party. But Labour has a fundamentally illiberal ideology. While there are many areas of agreement between the two parties, Labour is also the party of ID cards, illegal wars, points-based immigration systems and biometic anal probes (I may have made one of those up).</p>
<p>While it is true that the Conservatives can happily outpace Labour in an authoritarianism competition, the Conservative party does at least have a liberal wing, the sort which simply does not exist in the Labour party. So a liberal party should not be frightened of teaming up with the Tories, as long as their more authoritarian elements can be reined in.</p>
<p>While it is clear that the Conservatives are the one party in Westminster most opposed to electoral reform, they are at least principled in their opposition. Labour changes its mind based on its self-interest. If they genuinely wanted to change the voting system, they had 13 years in which to do it &#8212; but they didn&#8217;t.</p>
<p>Labour&#8217;s &#8220;support&#8221; for electoral reform is hollow and opportunistic. <a href="http://lallandspeatworrier.blogspot.com/2010/05/how-many-labour-msps-supported.html">Lallands Peat Worrier makes the point</a> that a big fat zero of Labour&#8217;s MSPs supported the idea of using proportional representation for Westminster elections when the Scottish Parliament voted on the issue just a few weeks ago.</p>
<p>This is a big opportunity to make electoral reform actually happen and to make the potential of a government led by the nasty party significantly less nasty. If nothing else, Lib Dem supporters should be much more open to it &#8212; if only to prove the point that coalitions <em>can</em> work after all. It just requires the maturity to let it happen.</p>
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		<title>Anyone but the Tories?</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/10/17/anyone-but-the-tories/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/10/17/anyone-but-the-tories/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Oct 2009 22:17:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=3470</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is the accompanying article / transcript to my contribution to this week&#8217;s edition of The Pod Delusion, a humorous lefty / skeptical podcast. You can listen to the full podcast below. This year&#8217;s party conference season has now finished, and attention turns to the General Election that will held some time between now and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="note"><i>This is the accompanying article / transcript to my contribution to <a href="http://poddelusion.co.uk/blog/2009/10/16/episode-5-16th-october-2009/">this week&#8217;s edition of The Pod Delusion</a>, a humorous lefty / skeptical podcast. You can listen to the full podcast below.</i></p>
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<p>This year&#8217;s party conference season has now finished, and attention turns to the General Election that will held some time between now and June. What that really means is that everyone&#8217;s thoughts are turning towards the prospect of the Conservatives being in power.</p>
<p>Many people now seem to be treating a Conservative election win as more-or-less a foregone conclusion. This is despite the fact that they still have slightly underwhelming opinion poll ratings. The Conservatives are not exactly getting an enthusiastic reception. It&#8217;s just that the other parties are disliked even more.</p>
<p>Something that the Tories have going for them at the moment is the announcement a couple of weeks ago that <i>The Sun</i> will be endorsing them at the next General Election. Truth be told, I was surprised on the one hand that they hadn&#8217;t already announced it. On the other hand, I was surprised at how early they had announced it. After all, it gives them plenty of time to change their minds between now and the election.</p>
<p><i>The Sun</i> tends to back a winner, even though it is probably more of a case of being a weather vane rather than any sinister string-pulling from Rupert Murdoch. A few people I have spoken to think that it&#8217;s out of order for <i>The Sun</i> to be advising its readers how to vote. Maybe so, but the freedom of the press is vital to our democracy and they should be allowed to put it in their paper if they wish.</p>
<p>Some people note that people who buy <i>The Sun</i> are probably not buying it for sober and authoritative political analysis. That is true. But I actually think the Conservatives are a perfect match for <i>The Sun</i>. David Cameron and George Osborne would look great on Page 3. They are, after all, a massive pair of tits.</p>
<p>Putting aside whether a tabloid endorsement is something for an aspiring government to be proud about, what should we make of a potential Conservative government? Some on the left contend that no matter how bad Labour are, the Conservatives will always be worse. I do not quite agree with that.</p>
<p>If you ask me, the one thing scarier than a potential Conservative victory is a potential Labour victory. After all, given the turmoil of the past few years, just imagine what Labour would think if they could get away with it all. They would probably literally think that they could get away with actual murder. The thing is that they probably <em>would</em> get away with a lot &#8212; <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/05/04/bojo-might-be-a-bozo-but-labour-is-the-real-danger/">more than the Conservatives would anyway</a>.</p>
<p>It has become common for people to say that Labour and the Conservatives have become similar to each other as far as policy goes. I don&#8217;t really agree with that. They are quite similar, but with Labour you get bonus ID cards and biometric anal probes. All-in-all, I doubt that a Conservative government would automatically be worse than another Labour one.</p>
<p>The most disconcerting thing about the Tories is not that they seem particularly nasty, but that they seem pretty vacuous at the moment. It may be a cliché to say that most people don&#8217;t know what David Cameron stands for. But you do get the sense that their manifesto will resemble some backs of envelopes and cigarette packets stuck together with Sellotape.</p>
<p>During all the talk recently about <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/10/10/debating-the-leaders-debate/">televised leaders&#8217; debates</a>, David Cameron seems to be the more eager between him and Gordon Brown to appear. But you wonder quite what he will find to say. With the lack of policies, I can half imagine him responding every time he is asked a question by saying, &#8220;that&#8217;s what <em>she</em> said!&#8221; It will probably make about as much sense.</p>
<p>For a lot of people, the Tories are the enemy because they are posh. Cameron and Osborne are the notable posh figures in Westminster, though Boris Johnson also comes in for a fair bit of stick on this front.</p>
<p>Some Conservative politicians are indeed quite ludicrously posh. For some people, this prevents them from representing the voters of Britain adequately because they lack empathy with the man on the street. But for me, a politician&#8217;s background is irrelevant. What matters is their capability for the job.</p>
<p>I have to confess to having a bit of a soft spot for Boris Johnson. I need to watch what I say here. I have been told off before for having an opinion on Boris Johnson because I am not a Londoner, so in fairness it is none of my damn business.</p>
<p>But I did once have the opportunity to vote for Boris Johnson. That was when he attempted to become Rector of Edinburgh University when I was a student a few years ago. He was the early favourite, but an intensely negative campaign from the student politics establishment played heavily on his posh image. This ensured that Boris Johnson not only failed to win the election, but he actually came third out of four candidates.</p>
<p>I should point out that Boris was not my first choice in the election. My preferred option was the former <i>Scotsman</i> editor Magnus Linklater, who finished second.</p>
<p>So who did we get as Rector instead? A man called Mark Ballard. I know what you&#8217;re probably thinking: who on earth is Mark Ballard? At the time, he was a Green Member of the Scottish Parliament. However, the general population was not quite so enamoured of him as the student population was and he has since lost his seat in the Scottish Parliament.</p>
<p>I have actually met Mr Ballard a couple of times and I can certainly say that he is a very pleasant chap. But ultimately he is a bit of a nobody, certainly in comparison to somebody like Boris Johnson. I mean, at Edinburgh University we could have had London&#8217;s Mayor as our university&#8217;s figurehead. As it was, we got someone who was rather worthy, but rather anonymous and a bit dull.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t suppose there is necessarily anything wrong with that. But the mantra of &#8220;anyone but the Tories&#8221; surely isn&#8217;t all it&#8217;s cracked up to be.</p>
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		<title>Labour play the SNP&#8217;s territorial game over the budget</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/09/20/labour-play-the-snps-territorial-game-over-the-budget/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/09/20/labour-play-the-snps-territorial-game-over-the-budget/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Sep 2009 08:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=3419</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What a stooshie there is over the Scottish budget and John Swinney&#8217;s plan to scrap the Glasgow Airport Rail Link. I have found the reaction from Labour very interesting. Their strategy appears to be to attempt to paint it as an anti-Glasgow policy from an Edinburgh-centric party. Jeff thought that Steven Purcell may have jumped [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What a stooshie there is over the Scottish budget and John Swinney&#8217;s plan to scrap the Glasgow Airport Rail Link. I have found the reaction from Labour very interesting. Their strategy appears to be to attempt to paint it as an anti-Glasgow policy from an Edinburgh-centric party.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.snptacticalvoting.com/2009/09/did-purcell-bolt-too-early-once-again.html">Jeff thought</a> that Steven Purcell may have jumped the gun by describing the SNP&#8217;s budget proposals as &#8220;anti-Glasgow&#8221;. But if he did, Labour certainly weren&#8217;t embarrassed about it, and enthusiastically jumped on the bandwagon. Already during the budget debate Margaret Curran had asked a pointed question about just what was in the budget for Glasgow.</p>
<p>Separate parts of Labour soon latched on to the idea. For instance, <a href="http://www.tomharris.org.uk/">Tom Harris</a> was <a href="http://twitter.com/TomHarrisMP/status/4055788275">very quick to tweet</a> the following: &#8220;Gutted by the SNP&#8217;s decision to axe the Glasgow Airport rail link. Serves us right for not being Edinburgh, I suppose.&#8221; I also noticed an <a href="http://twitter.com/scottishlabour/status/4057704590">update from the official Scottish Labour Twitter account</a> which said, &#8220;Glasgow is being ripped off by the SNP in Edinburgh.&#8221;</p>
<p>Will &#8220;the SNP in Edinburgh&#8221; became a nice little catchphrase, just as &#8220;London Labour&#8221; effortlessly rolls off the tongue of any nationalist? I predict that it won&#8217;t. &#8220;The SNP in Edinburgh&#8221; is slightly clunky-sounding, while &#8220;London Labour&#8221; has an alliterative, almost symmetrical quality.</p>
<p>Trying to associate the SNP with Edinburgh is also a bit strange given that the SNP occupy just one of Edinburgh&#8217;s five seats while Labour MSPs currently sit in two of them. At least in this respect it makes about as much sense as &#8220;London Labour&#8221;, which was always quite a curious turn of phrase given that Labour have their greatest concentration of support in Scotland, not London.</p>
<p>You can say one thing &#8212; Labour&#8217;s move into the realm of regional politics is an interesting strategy. But as far as I can see, most people seem to just be rolling their eyes at the anti-Glasgow claim. The relative merits of Garl aside for the moment (and I think it is a mistake to scrap it), there surely can&#8217;t be many cities that have had more public money poured into them in recent decades than Glasgow.</p>
<p>Do Labour risk painting themselves into a Glasgow-shaped corner? Is there any real point in Labour playing this card? If there is one place in Scotland where their vote is safe, it is Glasgow. I fear that by focussing so strongly on Glasgow, they could easily make themselves less electable in the rest of Scotland.</p>
<p>I mean, in what way is wailing for yet more pork in Glasgow supposed to appeal to the rest of Scotland? Most people were quite heartily sick of the Glasgow-centric nature of the Labour party, <a href="http://lallandspeatworrier.blogspot.com/2009/09/clydesideism-glasgow-airport-rail-link.html">as Lallands Peat Worrier explains quite well</a>. And the Glasbolisation of the Scottish media is as tiresome as any London bias.</p>
<p>But it will be interesting to see how the SNP cope with the anti-Glasgow accusation. They cannot really afford to give up on Glasgow. Nor can they reject Labour&#8217;s line of reasoning, because this sort of territorial whining is their bread and butter.</p>
<p>That is one of the things that puts me off the SNP so much. They try to exaggerate the cultural and political differences between Scotland and the rest of the UK, while playing down any differences within Scotland. Take, for instance, top SNP blogger Jeff, who on Friday scoffed not <a href="http://www.snptacticalvoting.com/2009/09/games-over-according-to-labour.html">once</a> but <a href="http://www.snptacticalvoting.com/2009/09/did-purcell-bolt-too-early-once-again.html">twice</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8230;as if there is any significant difference between Glasgwegians and Edinburgers.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Let&#8217;s all settle down shall we, factionalism is what tore Scotland apart in the early 1700s. Let&#8217;s not go back to those days.</p></blockquote>
<p>It&#8217;s kind of funny to hear the SNP pleading against tearing a country apart. After all, it is normally <i>de rigueur</i> for the SNP to constantly make out that there is a significant difference when in reality there is just a bit of normal human diversity &#8212; just as long as the dividing line is the Scottish / English border.</p>
<p>The constant SNP refrain that a democratically elected Conservative government should not have the right to govern over Scotland because they have slightly less support north of the border is one of my biggest bugbears. <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/10/02/which-party-was-rejected-at-the-polls-where/">As I have pointed out before</a>, there will be regional differences within any democracy, no matter how you draw the borders.</p>
<p>So in Scotland you have Labour&#8217;s famous dominance of the West of Scotland. Meanwhile, the further north you go, the more likely you are, generally, to be in an SNP seat. There are no SNP constituency MSPs south of Kilmarnock and Loudoun, with the vast majority coming from north of the central belt. The other parties have their geographical cleavages of support too.</p>
<p>But for the SNP, the only important regional divide is the one that divides Scotland from the rest of the UK. They would have you believe that other regional differences don&#8217;t exist, or at least that they are not nearly as important.</p>
<p>This is one of the reasons why I reject nationalism. It is fundamentally disingenuous. At least Labour&#8217;s tactic has this going for it: it could show up the major contradiction of the SNP&#8217;s world view.</p>
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		<title>Where is our referendum on face-slapping?</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/09/09/where-is-our-referendum-on-face-slapping/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/09/09/where-is-our-referendum-on-face-slapping/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2009 12:41:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=3367</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last week the SNP set out its legislative plan. The headline grabber was the long-promised independence referendum bill. Today I saw Caron&#8217;s post asking, &#8220;why bother with a referendum?&#8221; She has a good point. It is widely recognised that the result of any referendum would almost certainly reject the SNP&#8217;s favoured proposals. &#8220;Ah, but!&#8221;, say [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last week the SNP set out its legislative plan. The headline grabber was <a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/scotland/article6820542.ece">the long-promised independence referendum bill</a>. Today I saw <a href="http://carons-musings.blogspot.com/2009/09/why-bother-with-referendum-on.html">Caron&#8217;s post asking</a>, &#8220;why bother with a referendum?&#8221; She has a good point. It is widely recognised that the result of any referendum would almost certainly reject the SNP&#8217;s favoured proposals.</p>
<p>&#8220;Ah, but!&#8221;, say proponents of a referendum. Opinion polls consistently suggest that around three quarters of people would like there to be a referendum on independence. This is supposedly a good enough reason to actually hold a referendum.</p>
<p>It strikes me as a bit daft though. Imagine the scene. You&#8217;re sitting on a park bench eating your lunch. A chap with a clipboard approaches you. He&#8217;s from a polling organisation. &#8220;The Monster Raving Loony Party,&#8221; he begins, &#8220;plans on giving everyone a slap on the face.&#8221; Your eyebrows raise. The prospect of the Monster Raving Loony Party being in a position to give everyone a slap in the face feels a bit distant. But the pollster continues: &#8220;Would you like a referendum on face-slapping to be held before this policy is pursued?&#8221; Yes, of course, you reply.</p>
<p><em>Of course</em> people say they&#8217;d like there to be a referendum. If you asked people if they wanted a referendum on legislation about chewing gum wrappers, they would most likely say yes. In fact, I wonder what is going through the minds of the quarter of people who say they would not like a referendum. They probably can&#8217;t be bothered with the campaigning. Perhaps they dread the prospect of <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/09/08/general-election-night-the-distasteful-sport-of-politics/">politicians hogging the box</a>, or maybe they <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/proposed-solutions-to-the-paradox-of-voting-an-assessment-of-the-role-of-economics-in-explaining-why-people-vote/">think their vote isn&#8217;t worth anything</a>.</p>
<p>Nevertheless, in general, ask people if they would like a right, they will take it with both hands. The right to vote on Scotland&#8217;s constitutional future is appealing. But it is just one appealing thing out of an infinite number of appealing things that may be offered by a government. We have unlimited wants, but the government has limited means.</p>
<p>That is the essence of the argument put forward by those who would rather there wasn&#8217;t a referendum on independence. Opponents <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/scotland/south_of_scotland/8237140.stm">such as Alistair Darling</a> say there are more important issues facing the voters, not least the economy. It would be wise to tackle them first before concerning ourselves with &#8220;distractions&#8221; like the independence debate.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t quite agree with that perspective either. It is perfectly valid (though, in my view, incorrect) to say that economic and other woes may be fixed by Scotland becoming independent. In fact, I think it is quite dangerous to dismiss any analysis of the constitutional position as a &#8220;distraction&#8221;.</p>
<p>I am in favour of constitutional reform. I do not agree with the sort of extreme reforms that the SNP would like to make. But certainly I would favour some degree of fiscal autonomy. <a href="http://www.scottishunionist.com/2009/07/guest-post-scotland-in-federal-britain.html">I would like the UK to adopt a federal structure</a>. And I think there is a pressing need for reform of the voting system.</p>
<p>I do not support such reforms because I think it would be a bit of distracting fun. There is nothing particularly satisfying to me about the calculations the single transferable vote system would entail (though it might be another matter for some political geeks). No, the real reason I favour constitutional reform is because I believe it will fundamentally improve the governance of the country. To dismiss constitutional debates as &#8220;distracting&#8221; is a bit of an insult. The constitutional structure is fundamental.</p>
<p>The reason to oppose a referendum on independence is not because people don&#8217;t want a referendum. And it is certainly not because it is a distraction. The reason is simply that there is no appetite for independence.</p>
<p>Some people have a peculiar obsession with referenda. But it&#8217;s worth remembering that they are actually quite a recent addition to British democracy, and have only been used a handful of times. The UK&#8217;s first referendum was held in 1973. Since then, a further eight have been held. Only one of them was held across the UK. Only another two have been Scotland-wide.</p>
<p>The idea behind holding a referendum is to make bloody well sure that the major constitutional change which is proposed is actually favoured by the people of the country. So rather than having a mere parliamentary majority, you make sure there is a majority favour among the people too. If you like, a referendum seeks a second mandate to go ahead with the change.</p>
<p>You see where I&#8217;m going with this? There hasn&#8217;t even been a first mandate yet. Although the SNP forms the Scottish Government, it is a minority administration. A majority of MSPs oppose independence.</p>
<p>You cannot even convincingly argue that the 2007 election result demonstrated momentum towards MSPs that favour independence. Although the SNP made large gains, this was mostly at the expense of other parties that favour independence. The Greens had their representation cut by two thirds. The SSP were totally wiped off the map. These two parties saw their share of the vote cut more than any other parties. Meanwhile, the three main opposition parties saw stagnant levels of support &#8212; they dropped, but not by that much.</p>
<p>That is why I oppose the idea of holding a referendum on independence. There simply isn&#8217;t anything going for it. There is no groundswell of support for independence among the voters. And there certainly isn&#8217;t enough appetite for it within the Scottish Parliament.</p>
<p>Those in favour of a referendum cling on to the fact that most people would like there to be a referendum. But that in itself is pretty meaningless because, as I have said, people will always prefer to have a referendum on anything, even if it&#8217;s on getting a slap on the face.</p>
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		<title>Patrick Hannan &#8212; A Useful Fiction</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/07/28/patrick-hannan-a-useful-fiction/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/07/28/patrick-hannan-a-useful-fiction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2009 23:39:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=3187</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Have you noticed that there is a lot of introspection about devolution just now? I suppose it underlines the fact that devolution is a process rather than a settlement that everyone is still looking at how to tweak it. Maybe it is just the newness of it. The Scottish Parliament is very young as these [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/gp/product/1854114956?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=doctorvee-21&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1634&#038;creative=19450&#038;creativeASIN=1854114956"><img src="http://ecx.images-amazon.com/images/P/1854114956.01._SCLZZZZZZZ_.jpg" alt="A Useful Fiction cover" width="196" height="*" class="picture" /></a></a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.co.uk/e/ir?t=doctorvee-21&#038;l=as2&#038;o=2&#038;a=1854114956" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" />Have you noticed that there is a lot of introspection about devolution just now? I suppose it underlines the fact that devolution is a <em>process</em> rather than a <em>settlement</em> that everyone is still looking at how to tweak it. Maybe it is just the newness of it. The Scottish Parliament is very young as these things go, just ten years old. As such, there is inevitably a sense that we haven&#8217;t quite got it right yet.</p>
<p>Mind you, you can never get it &#8220;right&#8221;, in the sense that everyone will be happy. Westminster is as well-established as they come, and yet people are constantly suggesting reforms from every angle imaginable. That has, of course, gained even more momentum in the past year or so, particularly with expenses scandals and the like.</p>
<p>So it is only natural that people should be wagging their jaws about devolution all the time. But the chat has seemed particularly intense of late. The SNP are having a National Conversation, while the other major parties have thrown their lot in with the recently published Calman report.</p>
<p>I guess you can put a lot of this down to the fact that the SNP are in government. That was an epoch; completely new territory that demanded introspection. What are the reasons for the SNP being in power? Unless it is an anti-Labour vote (which, to be fair, is highly likely), it may be because people are unhappy with the constitutional situation as it stands. An SNP government is perceived to be a major step towards independence, even if a number of major hurdles remain.</p>
<p>The tenth anniversary of the Scottish Parliament is also a good excuse to look back on how devolution has panned out so far and to work out how to refine the system for the future. All of this has been a useful hook on which to hang Patrick Hannan&#8217;s latest book, <i>A Useful Fiction</i>, of which I recently received a copy to review.</p>
<p>But that is largely a marketing device. The tenth anniversary of devolution is barely, if at all, mentioned. Meanwhile, thoughts on the Calman Commission feel as though they have been slightly shoehorned in, rushing to mention it lest the book feel out of date by the time people get round to reading it.</p>
<p>But the book could not have been written six months ago. Indeed, the sheer amount of important events that actually happened in the past year or so (chief among them the credit crunch and the collapse of RBS and HBOS) become quite clear as you read the book. For that reason, it probably will feel out of date by the time many people get round to reading it. But that is the peril of writing a book about current events, especially a process as unpredictable as devolution.</p>
<p>Mind you, not all of the book is about current political events. That is simultaneously the book&#8217;s main strength and its main weakness. On the one hand, it ensures that the book isn&#8217;t completely preoccupied with political points that are very salient in 2009 but will be fish wrapper come 2010. On the other hand, any politics geeks who read the blurb and expect to be able to immerse themselves in interesting constitutional arguments will be disappointed.</p>
<p>While the second half of the book focuses very much on the politics of devolution, it takes a while for the book to reach that point. Much of the front end of the book is preoccupied with more general points about national identity. I spent a lot of my time thinking, &#8220;well there&#8217;s plenty about cricket, rugby, the meaning of flags and other cultural issues; but not much of the politics I was looking for&#8221;.</p>
<p>That is not to say the early part of the book is useless; far from it. These reflections on Britishness and the nature of national identity are fundamental to the subject, not to say interesting to read about. But I did feel as though the book was taking its time to deal with the questions I was seeking answers for.</p>
<p>But when the book does move on to ask these questions, answers are few and far between. In his review of the book, <a href="http://macnumpty.blogspot.com/2009/07/useful-fiction-by-patrick-hannan.html">Will Patterson said</a> that <i>A Useful Fiction</i> is a book for moderates, which is a good way of putting it.</p>
<p>It is not exactly to say that Patrick Hannan constantly flits cowardly around the middle ground. I did raise my eyebrows from time to time in the course of reading this book. But after making an interesting suggestion, he often fails to commit it. The reader feels almost like the victim of a practical joker who looks like he is passing you something only to snatch it away as you reach out for it.</p>
<p>This left me finishing the book feeling as though I had read an interesting book, but one that lacked any central themes or arguments. It makes me wonder what Patrick Hannan sat down to write the book for, other than to set out an interesting collection of thoughts on Britain&#8217;s constitutional situation.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, I would say it is well worth reading <i>A Useful Fiction</i> because it <em>is</em> an interesting collection of thoughts. It certainly provided me with some fresh perspectives and Mr Hannan is an engaging enough writer.</p>
<p>But if you think you&#8217;ll want to read it, I would hurry up before it gets overtaken by events.</p>
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		<title>Would a Scottish Six be less parochial?</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/24/would-a-scottish-six-be-less-parochial/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/24/would-a-scottish-six-be-less-parochial/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2009 00:36:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=3136</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I was interested in this recent article about SNP MSP Kenny Gibson&#8217;s comments about Reporting Scotland (via cobaltmale). For him, BBC Scotland&#8217;s flagship news programme is too parochial. Apparently the way to fix this would be the creation of a Scottish Six. It would mean you would have less of the Mrs-McGlumpha&#8217;s-cat-caught-up-a-tree-type stories that you [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was interested in this recent article about SNP MSP <a href="http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/2009/06/17/bbc-s-reporting-scotland-mind-numbingly-parochial-says-msp-86908-21448551/">Kenny Gibson&#8217;s comments about Reporting Scotland</a> (<a href="http://delicious.com/cobaltmale">via cobaltmale</a>). For him, BBC Scotland&#8217;s flagship news programme is too parochial. Apparently the way to fix this would be the creation of a Scottish Six.</p>
<blockquote><p>It would mean you would have less of the Mrs-McGlumpha&#8217;s-cat-caught-up-a-tree-type stories that you sometimes get on Reporting Scotland.</p>
<p>There would be things presented from an international perspective rather than at present, which is still on occasion mind-numbingly parochial in my view &#8211; that would be a better way forward.</p></blockquote>
<p>Before proceeding, I should point out that <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2005/03/31/jamie-oliver-and-the-scottish-six/">I am in favour of the Scottish Six</a>. But I do have <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2007/05/21/for-and-against-the-scottish-six/">one problem</a> with the idea.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t follow Kenny Gibson&#8217;s logic that by <em>increasing</em> the length of Reporting Scotland, you will have <em>fewer</em> cat-up-a-tree stories. Sure, a Scottish Six would cover all of the important international news and UK-wide news that is salient to Scottish viewers. But then what?</p>
<p>I would guess that on most days, that would fill 40 minutes tops. Don&#8217;t forget that a Scottish Six would remove any &#8220;Englandandwales&#8221;-only stories, which could easily trim five or ten minutes off the Six on many days.</p>
<p>Given that the current Six O&#8217;Clock News-and-Reporting Scotland slot is almost an hour long, it seems to me that there would be a lot of time to fill. When you consider that it is followed by the dire One Show, filled with its own type of cat-up-a-tree stories, the problem is accentuated. It&#8217;s bad enough having half an hour of dross on prime time BBC One. We don&#8217;t want even more.</p>
<p>Maybe it is a prestige thing though. A confidence thing. Part of the nationalist argument is that Scotland has latent abilities that are locked up as a result of its participation in the union. Maybe they also think that a Reporting Scotland with an upgraded &#8220;Scottish Six&#8221; status will result in the producers and journalists coming up with a better product. Who&#8217;s to say that&#8217;s not possible?</p>
<p>Perhaps the most lamentable thing about Reporting Scotland is not so much the quality of the programme, which I think is not too bad. The main problem is the fact that I couldn&#8217;t honestly tell you that today&#8217;s Reporting Scotland was all that different to the programme that existed before devolution. It is still presented as a local news programme; a disposable appendix of the Six.</p>
<p>This adds to the perception that the Scottish media has, counter-intuitively, withered in the devolution era. Faced with more news to report in the form of a devolved Parliament, Scotland&#8217;s media has in fact failed to step up to the plate and is by most accounts weaker than it has ever been.</p>
<p>Unlike the newspapers, Reporting Scotland is funded by the license fee. So it doesn&#8217;t feel the pinch in quite the same way as commercial outlets. Maybe there is an opportunity for BBC Scotland to fill the gap that is being left by Scotland&#8217;s media by going ahead and launching the Scottish Six.</p>
<p>There is still something inside me that doubts that the Scottish Six could successfully fill an hour-long slot. When you watch Reporting Scotland, most days they are already talking about sport (almost always football, and usually just Rangers or Celtic) just ten or fifteen minutes after the programme has started. With more time to fill, we might have to get used to the <em>real</em> cat-up-a-tree stories.</p>
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		<title>The Public Petitions Committee fails to get social media</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/16/the-public-petitions-committee-fails-to-get-social-media/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/16/the-public-petitions-committee-fails-to-get-social-media/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2009 19:42:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=3126</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I saw this story on Scotsman.com today about the Scottish Parliament&#8217;s Public Petitions Committee attempting to reach out by using social media. Of course, I am all for the correct use of social media as a sensible and low-cost way for any organisation to communicate with the public and to allow people to get in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I saw this <a href="http://news.scotsman.com/politics/Scottish-Parliament-plans-further-use.5369412.jp">story on Scotsman.com</a> today about the Scottish Parliament&#8217;s Public Petitions Committee attempting to reach out by using social media. Of course, I am all for the correct use of social media as a sensible and low-cost way for any organisation to communicate with the public and to allow people to get in contact. But there was something about this story that just seemed odd.</p>
<blockquote><p>HOLYROOD chiefs are to use blogs, Wikipedia and YouTube to make Parliament more accessible to the public, they said today.</p>
<p>People petitioning Parliament will be able to provide videos and photographs.</p>
<p>And Holyrood&#8217;s Public Petitions Committee is to have its own blog and Wikipedia page.</p></blockquote>
<p>It&#8217;s the mention of Wikipedia &#8212; twice &#8212; that tweaked my antenna. How exactly does Parliament intend to &#8220;use Wikipedia&#8221; to become more accessible to the public? Perhaps they meant using wikis, and got that confused with Wikipedia.</p>
<p>I decided to delve a bit further in case The Scotsman got the wrong end of the stick (which, let us face it, is fairly likely). But <a href="http://scottish.parliament.uk/nmCentre/news/news-comm-09/cpp09-s3-006.htm">the Scottish Parliament&#8217;s press release</a> seemed even odder.</p>
<blockquote><p>As from today blogging, Wikipedia and YouTube will be some of the new social media tools introduced by the Public Petitions Committee as part of its report publication. The report is the result of a year-long inquiry into improving awareness and participation in the public petitions process.</p>
<p>Petitioners will be able to provide videos and photos about their petitions as part of the committee’s new blog page. A podcast, Wikipedia page and dvd about the Parliament’s public petitions system all signal the committee’s commitment in encouraging access to and awareness of the petitions process. The committee also supports the creation of local petitioning systems with local authorities.</p></blockquote>
<p>I was still confused, so I took a look at <a href="http://scottish.parliament.uk/s3/committees/petitions/reports-09/pur09-03.htm">the Public Petitions Committee&#8217;s report</a> to see what the plans actually were. You can read the details of its plans to use social media under the heading &#8220;E-Based&#8221; (paragraph 84 onwards).</p>
<p>In paragraph 119 the Public Petitions Committee says: &#8220;We are launching, alongside this report, a dedicated Public Petitions Committee Wiki page.&#8221; The footnote takes you to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petitioning_the_Scottish_Parliament">this Wikipedia article</a>. This is an article which was already deleted when I checked it early this afternoon, and remains deleted as I write this article.</p>
<p>The Public Petitions Committee&#8217;s attempt to use Wikipedia like this completely misunderstands what Wikipedia is for. A page such as the one the Public Petitions Committee tried to create is completely against Wikipedia guidelines. Wikipedia is an encyclopedia, not some kind of worthy version of Craigslist. They could try reading about <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:What_Wikipedia_is_not">What Wikipedia is not</a>, notably that <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:What_Wikipedia_is_not#Wikipedia_is_not_a_soapbox">Wikipedia is not a soapbox</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Wikipedia is not a soapbox, a battleground, or a vehicle for propaganda and advertising&#8230; Therefore, content hosted in Wikipedia is not&#8230; [p]ropaganda, advocacy, or recruitment of any kind, commercial, political, religious, or otherwise&#8230;</p>
<p>[Content hosted in Wikipedia is not] Self-promotion. It can be tempting to write about yourself or projects in which you have a strong personal involvement. However, do remember that the standards for encyclopedic articles apply to such pages just like any other, including the requirement to maintain a neutral point of view, which is difficult when writing about yourself or about projects close to you.</p></blockquote>
<p>An subject is considered worthy of an article on Wikipedia by the bottom-up processes upon which Wikipedia is based. It is not for the Public Petitions Committee to swan in and create a page for itself. Nor can it be the final arbiter on what that article contains. The report somewhat states in somewhat Orwellian fashion:</p>
<blockquote><p>We are of course mindful of the ability to amend text given the ‘ongoing principle’ under which Wiki pages are created. Our clerks will monitor the page carefully to ensure it remains a factual and authoritative source of information about our public petitions process.</p></blockquote>
<p>Moreover, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:What_Wikipedia_is_not#Wikipedia_is_not_a_manual.2C_guidebook.2C_textbook_or_scientific_journal">Wikipedia is not a manual, guidebook, textbook or scientific journal</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Wikipedia is an encyclopedic reference, not an instruction manual, guidebook, or textbook. Wikipedia articles should not read like&#8230; Internet guides. Wikipedia articles should not exist only to describe the nature, appearance or services a website offers, but should describe the site in an encyclopedic manner, offering detail on a website&#8217;s achievements, impact or historical significance&#8230;</p></blockquote>
<p>In paragraph 109, the Public Petitions Committee itself says of its attempts to use social media that it is &#8220;not seen as ticking a box which says ‘look, we are doing this because everyone else is!’&#8221;. But this Wikipedia stunt has box-ticking written all over it. It has Dad-dancing written all over it.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m sure using Wikipedia to publicise the Scottish Parliament&#8217;s petitions process seemed like a good suggestion in a meeting room somewhere. But they could have done with having a bit more of an understanding of what Wikipedia actually is before actually proceeding with the idea.</p>
<p>Luckily, the Public Petitions Committee didn&#8217;t put all of its eggs in one basket. There will also be a &#8220;pod cast&#8221;, which currently seems to be a solitary MP3, tucked away at the bottom of <a href="http://scottish.parliament.uk/nmCentre/news/news-comm-09/cpp09-s3-006.htm">the press release</a>. Other than that, there is a promise to link to <a href="http://scottish.parliament.uk/vli/Podcasts/index.htm">the Scottish Parliament&#8217;s own podcasts</a>. There is no RSS feed and no option to subscribe.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s look it up on the Public Petitions Committee&#8217;s new best friend Wikipedia. The article for <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Podcast">Podcast</a> is <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Podcast&#038;oldid=296389758">currently</a> illustrated with a massive RSS icon. It says:</p>
<blockquote><p>A podcast is a series of digital media files, usually either digital audio or video, that is made available for download via web syndication. The syndication aspect of the delivery is what differentiates podcasts from other ways of accessing files, such as simple download or streaming: it means that special client software applications known as podcatchers (such as Apple Inc.&#8217;s iTunes or Nullsoft&#8217;s Winamp) can automatically identify and retrieve new files in a series when they are made available, by accessing a centrally-maintained web feed that lists all files currently associated with that particular podcast. The files thus automatically downloaded are then stored locally on the user&#8217;s computer or other device, for offline use.</p></blockquote>
<p>I therefore await the launch of some <em>actual</em> podcasts, not just MP3s branded as &#8220;pod casts&#8221;.</p>
<p>The Public Petitions Committee will also have a &#8220;blog page&#8221;. <a href="http://scottishparliamentpetitions.blogspot.com/">That can be found here</a> and, in fairness, it doesn&#8217;t look all that bad. It looks like a good way to highlight the work of the Public Petitions Committee.</p>
<p>I think organisations like the Scottish Parliament should be using social media and web technologies more. So the Public Petitions Committee&#8217;s steps in this direction are welcome. The blog looks particularly promising.</p>
<p>But engaging with the public is about so much more than tossing around buzzwords like &#8216;Wikipedia&#8217;, &#8216;YouTube&#8217; and &#8216;podcasts&#8217;. A proper understanding of social media would provide a better service to the public and waste fewer resources.</p>
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		<title>Scottish Euro election results</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/12/scottish-euro-election-results/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/12/scottish-euro-election-results/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 23:52:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=3112</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A bit like the UK-wide result, but even more so, the result in Scotland was very static. In fact, in many ways, the outcome was totally predictable, and no seats changed hands. But that doesn&#8217;t mean there weren&#8217;t any stories though. Indeed, it was historic because it is the first time the SNP have got [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A bit like the UK-wide result, but even more so, the <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/elections/euro/09/html/ukregion_10.stm">result in Scotland</a> was very static. In fact, in many ways, the outcome was totally predictable, and no seats changed hands.</p>
<p>But that doesn&#8217;t mean there weren&#8217;t any stories though. Indeed, it was historic because it is the first time the SNP have got the most votes in Scotland in a UK-wide election. And unlike the 2007 Scottish Parliamentary election, it wasn&#8217;t a narrow result either.</p>
<p>Indeed, the fact that Labour got the most votes in <a href="http://scotsandindependent.blogspot.com/2009/06/euro-political-map.html">only three council areas</a> underlines just how much Scotland has fallen out of love with Labour, something that seemed an impossibility just a few years ago. That bodes very well for the SNP in terms of future FPTP elections, which have always acted to keep SNP representation artificially low.</p>
<p>A couple of weeks ago <a href="http://snptacticalvoting.blogspot.com/2009/06/new-mori-poll-and-icm-detail-is-up.html?showComment=1243882795357#c7365402138245921585">I teased Jeff</a> about <a href="http://snptacticalvoting.blogspot.com/2009/06/new-mori-poll-and-icm-detail-is-up.html">recent opinion polls</a>. In the rest of the UK &#8212; in a three-party system &#8212; Labour was well and truly in the doldrums, fighting for third in the high teens in opinion polls. But in Scotland&#8217;s four-party system, Labour were still a comfortable 2nd in the mid-20s.</p>
<p>In the end though, the SNP delivered a comprehensive drubbing to Labour in the European elections. The gap between the SNP and Labour is now over twice as large as the gap between Labour and the Conservatives. And that&#8217;s not as a result of how well the Conservatives are doing &#8212; their share of the vote went <em>down</em>.</p>
<p>While the <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/10/aftermath-of-the-european-parliamentary-election/">UK-wide picture</a> was largely about Labour losing votes and not much else, Scotland&#8217;s results were only partly about the Labour collapse. The SNP gained a lot more than Labour lost, so that can be seen as a sign that the Scottish voters are quite happy with the mid-term Scottish Government.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m tempted to suggest that the Lib Dems&#8217; drop in support is partly due to the electorate&#8217;s perception of their performance in the Scottish Parliament. That would be me projecting my views on the entire electorate. I had gone off the Lib Dems a bit because of their poor performance in the Scottish Parliament, and it was only after <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/03/european-election-leaflets-the-main-parties/">investigating each of the parties</a> that I realised they are probably the only party I could bring myself to vote for. If I hadn&#8217;t done that, I probably wouldn&#8217;t have voted.</p>
<p>The Greens didn&#8217;t come close to getting a Scottish seat, which must be massively disappointing for them. A near miss might have been tolerable, but according to the d&#8217;Hondt calculator I used, Scotland would have needed nine seats if the Greens were to take one.</p>
<p>Ukip suffered a noticeable dip in an already low level of support. Mind you, last time they were snapping at the Greens&#8217; heels. This year they were far behind. They remain sixth, but are increasingly irrelevant in Scotland.</p>
<p>Meanwhile the BNP gained, but to a quite distant 7th. The BNP had just 2.5% of the vote, compared to a 6.2% share UK-wide. They were 9th in Scotland in 2004, so they have made a bit of a stride in Scotland. But they only gained around 8,000 extra votes. Much of the BNP&#8217;s advance can be attributed to the collapse of the SSP and the disappearance of Operation Christian Vote (which entered as part of the Christian People&#8217;s Alliance &#8212; a move that didn&#8217;t do them much good).</p>
<p>Scotland&#8217;s socialist titans continue their journey to obscurity. The SSP scraped together just 10,000 votes &#8212; six times fewer than the number of votes they got in 2004. Even the Socialist Labour Party, Arthur Scargill&#8217;s vanity project, got over twice as many votes as the SSP. The Socialist Labour Party didn&#8217;t even bother to enter the last European election. By beating the SSP so comfortably, they have certainly shown just how irrelevant the SSP have become. Those heady days when the SSP had six MSPs feels like so long ago now.</p>
<p>Tommy Sheridan threw his lot in with No2EU, which got even fewer votes. In fact, No2EU got even fewer votes than mystery man Duncan Robertson. That is no mean feat considering I had a struggle finding out anything about Mr Robertson at all prior to the election.</p>
<p>Right at the bottom of the heap was Jury Team, a candidate with which I sympathised a bit. Perhaps it goes to show that, despite the current crisis of confidence in mainstream politics, people still like the principle of party politics rather than taking a risk on an independent candidate.</p>
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		<title>I decided! And I decided to vote</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/04/i-decided-and-i-decided-to-vote/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/04/i-decided-and-i-decided-to-vote/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Jun 2009 21:00:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=3092</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Well my week-long voyage of discovery has come to an end. In actual fact, I decided early this week which party I would vote for. I wasn&#8217;t sure whether I would actually go along to vote though. In the end, I decided to go along to the polling station. I fancied a walk and a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='series_toc'><h3>The decision to vote</h3><p>A series of posts</p><ol><li><a href='http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/05/29/a-pathetic-situation/' title='A pathetic situation'>A pathetic situation</a></li><li><a href='http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/05/31/five-disturbing-things-about-democracy/' title='Five disturbing things about democracy'>Five disturbing things about democracy</a></li><li><a href='http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/02/how-should-politics-be-reformed-part-1/' title='How should politics be reformed?: Part 1'>How should politics be reformed?: Part 1</a></li><li><a href='http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/03/how-the-new-politics-might-look-part-2/' title='How the new politics might look: part 2'>How the new politics might look: part 2</a></li><li><a href='http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/03/european-election-leaflets-the-main-parties/' title='European election leaflets: The main parties'>European election leaflets: The main parties</a></li><li><a href='http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/04/european-parliamentary-election-literature-small-parties/' title='European Parliamentary Election literature: small parties'>European Parliamentary Election literature: small parties</a></li><li><a href='http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/04/a-second-opinion/' title='A second opinion'>A second opinion</a></li><li>I decided! And I decided to vote</li></ol></div><p> <p>Well my week-long voyage of discovery has come to an end. In actual fact, I decided early this week which party I would vote for. I wasn&#8217;t sure whether I would actually go along to vote though.</p>
<p>In the end, I decided to go along to the polling station. I fancied a walk and a bit of fresh air. Besides, my parents dropped in to vote on the way to a meal at glamorous Wetherspoons, so I would have gone hungry if I didn&#8217;t go with them.</p>
<p>Having reached the polling station without being bumped off, and decided which party I preferred, the costs of voting seemed very small even considering the minuscule benefits. So I went in, queued behind my parents, and cast my vote.</p>
<p>When I first went in, the polling station seemed quite quiet &#8212; there was only one person casting her vote. But by the time I left, I had seen at least another four people come in. I was expecting it to be proper tumbleweed stuff, but it seemed steady, even if it was quite slow.</p>
<p>Plus, one of the other voters was someone I recognised as being in my year at school, which perhaps bodes well for the youth turnout. Though to be fair, it is probably more likely to be a totally meaningless coincidence.</p>
<p>Anyway, even if the European Parliamentary election is ostensibly not the most interesting, the week in politics leading up to it has been fascinating. For one thing, I have enjoyed getting stuck into the issues and the parties.</p>
<p>I haven&#8217;t really done this sort of blogging for a couple of years at least now, so it felt a bit unnatural. But it was worth experimenting, and it certainly increased my awareness of the salient issues leading into this election. This sharpening of the brain has always been one of my favourite aspects of blogging.</p>
<p>Then there has been this whole issue with the Labour government in Westminster disintegrating in front of the world&#8217;s eyes. It would have been perfectly normal for this all to have happened after the election. But for this to happen <em>in the run-up</em> to an election seems incredible. It is an amazing piece of self-flagellation, demonstrating a lack of discipline and self-control. Either that, or things simply became so bad within the government that this actually was the least worst option.</p>
<p>Now the internet is abuzz about what will happen at 2201, when the media can again report freely on politics. It&#8217;ll be fascinating to watch this situation unfold.</p>
<p>I have to say, even though I despise their policies, I feel kind of sorry for Labour candidates and activists who had to try and make something out of this mess today. They&#8217;ve really been shat on by Gordon Brown&#8217;s ineptitude and cabinet in-fighting that is completely beyond the control of the activists on the front line. Makes me glad I&#8217;m not a politico.</p>
<p>The other incredible story of the day has been the tale of Ukip voters&#8217; frustration at&#8230; wait for it&#8230; being <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/8083435.stm">unable to unfold a ballot paper properly</a>! Unbelievable. Shows you the class of person that Ukip attracts.</p>
<p>There is a valid point to be made about the order parties or candidates appear on the ballot paper. It&#8217;s well known that the SNP exploited the alphabetical system to good effect by temporarily renaming their party &#8220;Alex Salmond for First Minister&#8221; during the 2007 Scottish Parliamentary elections, a stunt that possibly explained a lot of the confusion that voters experienced.</p>
<p>In the twenty-first century, you would expect something a bit more sophisticated than alphabetical order. Surely it can&#8217;t be difficult to have the parties and candidates displayed in random order, printing an equal number of each iteration of the ballot paper? But with <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/02/how-should-politics-be-reformed-part-1/">so many things wrong with the political system in this country</a> that no-one in power seems bothered to fix, this is small beer and it&#8217;s no wonder this situation has been allowed to unfold.</p>
<p>Anyway, in the end I decided to vote for the Liberal Democrats. This isn&#8217;t really a huge surprise. I have voted for them (as my first choice) in every election since I got the vote. It is true that I have become a bit jaded with them recently, but in fairness that is mostly because of their so-so performance in the Scottish Parliament.</p>
<p>Ideologically, they are easily the party I&#8217;m closest to. In fact, they are probably more or less the only party I could bring myself to vote for. The deal was sealed when I read <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/06/03/european-election-leaflets-the-main-parties/">their election leaflet</a>, and was impressed by the tone and the positive content about the Lib Dems&#8217; role in Europe.</p>
<p>If I had a second choice, I may well have ended up casting it for Jury Team. Despite my general scepticism about the anti-party rhetoric, I like the main thrust of their message. I was also quite impressed by their number 1 candidate Alan Wallace, who <a href="http://wwwthepartysover.blogspot.com/">has a blog</a> where the message is quite measured. Today he also added me on Twitter and <a href="http://twitter.com/awjuryteam/statuses/2031300408">replied to one of my tweets</a>, so I appreciated the effort to reach me.</p>
<p>Now I just have to wait and find out if I cast a pivotal vote that got the Lib Dems and extra seat. I somehow doubt it. And I have to wait until Sunday to find out. Gah. Just as well something interesting will probably happen tonight anyway then!</p>
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