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		<title>Debating the leaders&#8217; debate</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/10/10/debating-the-leaders-debate/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2009/10/10/debating-the-leaders-debate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 16:17:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=3467</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There has been a fair bit of chat in recent weeks about the prospect of a televised leaders&#8217; debate in the run-up to the next general election. This sort of chat always comes up in the run-up to any election, but there appears to be an extra momentum this time round. It seems as though [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There has been a fair bit of chat in recent weeks about the prospect of a televised leaders&#8217; debate in the run-up to the next general election. This sort of chat always comes up in the run-up to any election, but there appears to be an extra momentum this time round.</p>
<p>It seems as though the promise by Sky News to televise a debate come what may &#8212; even if the debate was between tubs of lard &#8212; has forced everyone&#8217;s hand, broadcasters and political parties alike. It seems as though now it is going to happen, with the involvement of all the major broadcasters. It also appears as though the three main party leaders are on board (albeit with varying degrees of enthusiasm).</p>
<p>The end of the issue? Of course not. This is just the beginning of the matter. More details will need to be fleshed out. What format should such a debate take? Will there be a number of separate debates? And what about the role of smaller parties?</p>
<p>I am normally fairly ambivalent about calls for televised political debates. Those politicians who call for such a debate usually do so because they perceive that it would advantage them.</p>
<p>Someone like David Cameron will go for it because he is a confident performer, the momentum is behind him and the media appears to have declared him the winner already. Someone like Gordon Brown will reject it because he does not come across so well on television. This time he has been forced into it, partly because of Sky News&#8217; promise to &#8220;empty chair&#8221; him if he didn&#8217;t, but also because refusing to appear would further the idea that Brown is a coward with poor leadership qualities.</p>
<p>The prospect of a televised political debate fills me with dread rather than excitement. I doubt it does much for democratic accountability. Part of me suspects that vain politicians just crave appearances on the television.</p>
<p>No doubt we will be served up a rather unedifying spectacle, like PMQs on steroids. I predict Punch and Judy politics a-plenty. Most likely, as with Question Time, it will be a platform for the most appalling demagoguery, complete with an audience that will clap like seals at any old nonsense.</p>
<p>Most of all, I think the idea of a leaders&#8217; debate just misses the point. While it is useful to know what the major party leaders think, focusing on leaders too much is damaging to the health of our parliamentary democracy. Once again, there is a clamour to bring to Britain a feature of US politics which is a square peg in a round hole.</p>
<p>Televised debates are highly popular in the USA. But that is because the format is practically ready-made for the US political system. For one, the US system is a Presidential system, meaning that voters actually do elect the country&#8217;s leader. The US system is also a truly two-party system, with two Leviathans totally overshadowing any minority candidates. This makes it easy to adopt a one-on-one, head-to-head debating format.</p>
<p>Even though the televised debate is more-or-less a perfect fit for a US Presidential election, the format&#8217;s success is a matter for debate. In years gone by it may have provided some election-defining moments. But as I recall, the debates involving Barack Obama and John McCain, and Joe Biden and Sarah Palin, hardly set the world alight.</p>
<p>So what on earth makes anyone think that this gimmick will suit British politics? It seems like just another outcome of politicos&#8217; obsession with America. It seems like the idea of someone who has mistaken his DVD box set of The West Wing for real pornography.</p>
<p>Our Parliamentary system doesn&#8217;t &#8212; or at least shouldn&#8217;t &#8212; place so much focus on party leaders. Very few voters will actually have any sort of say on who the Prime Minister is. I will have the option to vote for or against Gordon Brown, but only because I happen to live in his constituency of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath. I will have no say whatsoever on David Cameron or Nick Clegg.</p>
<p>And what of the smaller parties? In the UK, broadcasters are required to be impartial in the run-up to an election, meaning that legally broadcasters will find it difficult to lock out the small parties. Even if these other parties have little or no chance of forming the government. Even if most viewers will not be as interested in hearing from these parties.</p>
<p>The most noise is being made by the SNP. They are <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/scotland/8289367.stm">threatening legal action</a> if an SNP representative is unable to play a part in a televised leaders&#8217; debate.</p>
<p>The SNP may have a point. Even though they have only a handful of MPs, and are only contesting seats in a portion of the UK, they have a lot of support in that portion. They are not a loony fringe party. They are in fact in government in the UK. Viewers north of the border will certainly be interested to hear what the SNP have to say in the run-up to the election.</p>
<p>At the same time, their presence may be a distraction from the real purpose of the debate, which is basically to watch the potential future Prime Ministers partake in a spot of verbal mud-wrestling. It is, after all, a &#8220;leaders&#8217; debate&#8221;. Despite all his ambition, Alex Salmond is highly unlikely to be the next Prime Minister, as is Angus Robertson.</p>
<p>Yet, what if there is the prospect of a hung Parliament? The collapse in Labour support has not been met with a real surge in support for the Conservatives. With so many parties having moderate levels of support, it is conceivable that a party like the SNP could play a king-maker role.</p>
<p>There is no easy answer. This is the core problem with the idea of a televised debate. It might be good for a simple, true two party system such as the USA&#8217;s. But for the UK&#8217;s more subtle and diverse politics, it won&#8217;t fit quite so well.</p>
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		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
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		<title>Did Bernie Ecclestone condone racism?</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/11/10/did-bernie-ecclestone-condone-racism/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/11/10/did-bernie-ecclestone-condone-racism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Nov 2008 02:33:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://vee8.doctorvee.co.uk/?p=1133</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I didn&#8217;t have the time to blog about it when the story originally blew up, but I have a few thoughts on the issue. Late last week Bernie Ecclestone gave an interview to BBC Radio 5 Live where he made comments that were interpreted by some as condoning racist behaviour in the grandstands at Formula [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I didn&#8217;t have the time to blog about it when the story originally blew up, but I have a few thoughts on the issue. Late last week Bernie Ecclestone gave an <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/7712538.stm">interview to BBC Radio 5 Live</a> where he made comments that were interpreted by some as <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/7712544.stm">condoning racist behaviour</a> in the grandstands at Formula 1 circuits.</p>
<p>I actually heard a little bit of that interview when it was originally broadcast, and I heard the controversial comments. I was initially surprised, because I saw how the comments would be interpreted by many. I was just surprised because I would have thought Bernie Ecclestone was savvy enough not to give an ambiguous answer to such a question. Sure enough, it became a bigger news story.</p>
<p>But while the comments were unfortunate, I don&#8217;t think they really deserved the reaction they got from some quarters. Ex-footballer Paul Elliot, speaking on behalf of Football Against Racism in Europe, <a href="http://www.pitpass.com/fes_php/pitpass_news_item.php?fes_art_id=36536">even called on Ecclestone to resign</a>.</p>
<p>This is a completely over-the-top reaction. I understood the nature of what Ecclestone was trying to say, even if he didn&#8217;t manage to articulate it very clearly on breakfast radio.</p>
<p>Formula 1 has only ever had one publicised incident of racial abuse, when a small clutch of Spanish spectators blacked up at a Barcelona test session before the 2008 season started. The pictures at were shocking, and I criticised the participants at the time.</p>
<p>However, in the discussions that ensued it became clear that many Spaniards were perplexed at the shocked reaction from Brits. I doubt that this is because Spain has a problem with racism. That was despite what some in the media tried to make out, without a hint of irony of course (<a href="http://www.newstatesman.com/blogs/richard-herring/2008/11/hamilton-black-racists-spanish">read Richard Herring</a> for a good take on this). It seems as though blacking up simply does not have the same connotations in Spain as it does in places like the UK and the USA. (And let us not forget, too, that it was only a few short decades ago that blacking up was totally acceptable in the UK.)</p>
<p>That is not to excuse the behaviour. We all must be sensitive to other cultures, and all decent people should take great care not to offend others&#8217; sensibilities. Clearly, a widespread interpretation of the behaviour of those people at the Barcelona test was that it was racial abuse. Indeed, that was my interpretation of it, even if it was not the intention of them to cause offence.</p>
<p>The fact that it is not obvious that the people deliberately set out to cause offence is, I believe, the origin of Bernie Ecclestone&#8217;s comment that it was a &#8220;joke&#8221;. I noticed many Spaniards saying that it was something to do with a carnival which involves dressing up, and I saw at least one person saying it was intended as a friendly gesture towards Lewis Hamilton rather than a malicious one.</p>
<p>The wonderful thing about improved communications and increasing globalisation is that we can more easily learn about other cultures. In that regard, it is notable that there has not been a repeat performance of the behaviour from Spanish supporters. There were two grands prix in Spain this year which, as far as I am aware, went off without any hint of trouble.</p>
<p>There was some booing in Brazil which Anthony Hamilton criticised live on ITV. I did not spot Anthony Hamilton implying that the booing was of a racial nature, although he may have thought that. It was certainly the spin that some in the media attempted to apply to the booing. But I saw absolutely no evidence that the booing was of an abusive or racial nature, and most accept that. In sport, you will have <a href="http://vee8.doctorvee.co.uk/2008/11/02/hamilton-is-champion-as-massa-misses-out-by-one-sector/">a partisan crowd</a>, and this is understandable and should not be criticised.</p>
<p>Following on from the reporting of Ecclestone&#8217;s comments, news bulletins spoke of Lewis Hamilton &#8220;hitting back&#8221; and &#8220;blasting&#8221; Ecclestone&#8217;s stance. Going by the reports, you would have thought Hamilton had been mortally offended. In fact, Hamilton&#8217;s comments were quite measured:</p>
<blockquote><p>I didn&#8217;t see it as a joke. It&#8217;s something that happened but it is in the past.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s more important to me is that I had a lot of support, especially from UK fans. As long as I have my country behind me, it makes me very proud. I&#8217;m proud to see my fellow countrymen holding up the flag. All the other stuff I need to put behind me.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t generally keep up with what&#8217;s being said and I haven&#8217;t read what Bernie said. I know Bernie and have a huge amount of respect for him. I can only assume he said positive things.</p></blockquote>
<p>It is unfortunate that Britain&#8217;s excitable media has distorted the reporting of this issue so much that I know of at least one person who was under the impression that Hamilton was subject to a barrage of abuse across all three days of the Spanish Grand Prix, which is not the case at all. The fact is that a small group of people did a stupid thing which was a one-off incident at a test session. In fact, the very reason it was so shocking is because it was so unknown in Formula 1.</p>
<p>Formula 1 can be proud of the fact that racism is as small a problem as it is. That is certainly a lot more than can be said for certain other sports. Barely a month goes by without reports of racial abuse at a football match, sometimes even coming from the players themselves. In comparison to the world&#8217;s most popular sport, Formula 1 is highly civilised.</p>
<p><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/7716131.stm">David Coulthard is absolutely right</a> in his comments supporting Bernie Ecclestone:</p>
<blockquote><p>It is trying to be built into something much bigger than it is. What happened in Spain because of those four guys, I&#8217;m sorry, but it hardly represents a nation of racists.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve seen some people having a pop at Bernie for trying to play it down, but what would you expect him to do? He is the ringmaster, the guy that has created this amazing foundation of business success that enables all of us to earn our pennies.</p>
<p>We&#8217;re all talking about Lewis being the first billion dollar sportsman, well that is on the foundations of what Bernie has created. To turn round and try to get Bernie to offer an apology to Lewis is just ridiculous.</p>
<p>F1 may have many failings, but it does not come close to the racism you see in people&#8217;s first love, and that&#8217;s football.</p></blockquote>
<p>Ecclestone&#8217;s claim that he pulled the South African Grand Prix in 1985 because of apartheid <a href="http://www.f1fanatic.co.uk/2008/11/07/did-bernie-ecclestone-really-pull-the-south-african-grand-prix-over-apartheid/">may be spurious</a>. But it is worth remembering that Bernie Ecclestone played a pivotal role in Formula 1 having its first black driver.</p>
<p>No, not Lewis Hamilton as the media may sometimes have you believe, but <a href="http://www.pitpass.com/fes_php/pitpass_news_item.php?fes_art_id=36536">Willy T. Ribbs</a>. The then-Nascar driver was given a test at Ecclestone-owned Brabham. Ribbs became the first black person to drive an F1 car, and although it was only a test and not a race drive, it hardly represents the actions of someone who would condone racism. For that reason alone, the calls for Bernie Ecclestone to resign are wide of the mark.</p>
<p>The media seriously needs to calm itself down over the colour of Lewis Hamilton&#8217;s skin. The civil rights activist Martin Luther King dreamt of a time when people &#8220;will not be judged by the colour of their skin but by the content of their character.&#8221; I agree, and that is why I find the obsession surrounding Hamilton&#8217;s colour so distasteful.</p>
<p>It is true that Lewis Hamilton has achieved amazing things, and he has undoubtedly broken barriers by becoming the first black race driver in Formula 1. But time and again the media keeps on making comparisons with people like Tiger Woods and even Barack Obama. And while I am not in the best position to judge, in my view, that is just crass.</p>
<p>Lewis Hamilton is not &#8220;Lewis Hamilton black man&#8221;, &#8220;Lewis Hamilton mixed race man&#8221; or &#8220;Britain&#8217;s Lewis Hamilton&#8221;. He is &#8220;Lewis Hamilton racing driver&#8221;. My understanding is that Hamilton sees himself as a racing driver who happens to be black rather than a black racing driver. <a href="http://www.motorsportmagazine.co.uk/2008/11/05/a-heros-welcome/">This report</a> on the celebratory McLaren press conference very much suggests that:</p>
<blockquote><p>Questions included his thoughts on Barack Obama’s victory in the US presidential election that very morning and how he feels about his position as a black role model. Hamilton shifted uneasily in his seat and swerved around the ‘race’ question as best he could. He just sees himself as a racing driver, nothing more, nothing less.</p></blockquote>
<p>I very much think it&#8217;s time to get over Lewis Hamilton&#8217;s skin colour. That goes for anyone who may racially abuse him, but it also goes for the media which constantly makes his colour the story. His colour was notable at first, but now it is not the story. His driving is.</p>
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		<title>A surprise in Glenrothes</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/11/08/a-surprise-in-glenrothes/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/11/08/a-surprise-in-glenrothes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 Nov 2008 01:39:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=2540</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The shock is not so much that Labour won. I had a feeling in my water as long as a month ago that Labour might win, even when the bookies and the pundits were saying otherwise. But the scale of Labour&#8217;s victory must have shocked everyone. Yesterday, the BBC&#8217;s coverage began on the premise that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The shock is not so much that <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/7714670.stm">Labour won</a>. I had a feeling in my water <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/10/10/could-labour-actually-win-in-glenrothes/">as long as a month ago</a> that Labour might win, even when the bookies and the pundits were saying otherwise. But the scale of Labour&#8217;s victory must have shocked everyone.</p>
<p>Yesterday, the BBC&#8217;s coverage began on the premise that it was &#8220;too close to call&#8221; or that, if anything, the SNP had squeaked it. Jim Murphy was making his excuses early (and doing a fairly good job of it, it has to be said). Coming towards midnight, it became clearer that Labour had won. The SNP were saying they hoped to have halved Labour&#8217;s majority.</p>
<p>Even with that knowledge, the scale of Labour&#8217;s victory when it was finally announced amazed me. The SNP hadn&#8217;t even halved Labour&#8217;s majority. In fact, Labour&#8217;s vote actually went <em>up</em> from the 2005 General Election result. The only real consolation the SNP can have is that the swing was 5% from Labour to the SNP. Even so, that looks minuscule compared to the swing of 22.5% achieved just a few months ago in Glasgow East.</p>
<p>There are all sorts of reasons why the SNP will be disappointed with this result. First of all, Glenrothes must have been a target seat for them anyway, even before this by-election was announced, with the SNP having won the similar Fife Central seat in the 2007 Scottish Parliament election. When Labour was in its trough of popularity, the SNP must have thought Christmas had come early.</p>
<p>Labour&#8217;s campaign had seemed like a total shambles. I do not live in the constituency so I haven&#8217;t seen any of the literature, but I have heard some bad things about it. Sarah Brown&#8217;s well-publicised visit to Cardenden was a complete botch job, and Gordon Brown&#8217;s visit to a cafeteria wasn&#8217;t much better.</p>
<p>Labour did not need a superstar candidate either. Lindsay Roy is a very nervy and uncomfortable performer on the television. However, it looks as though that actually played into his hands. Labour emphasised the fact that Lindsay Roy is not a career politician, and his track record of being out in the &#8220;real world&#8221; helping out Fife&#8217;s schoolchildren must have gained him a few votes.</p>
<p>As an aside, I doubt that Lindsay Roy actually wanted to become MP. He certainly didn&#8217;t look overjoyed at having won, and even after it was clear that Labour had won his body language seemed pretty negative to me. I have heard it said that Lindsay Roy wanted to retire from headteaching anyway and that he saw this as the ideal opportunity to get an early retirement. He probably thought he had no chance of winning.</p>
<p>There is also the fact that the SNP Scottish Government was still in its honeymoon period. Some people are reluctant to say that the honeymoon is over, but there is no doubt that this is at least a slap in the face.</p>
<p>Let us not forget that one of the SNP&#8217;s flagship policies was designed to please Fifers in particular. The SNP must have thought that the abolition of <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/03/02/reasons-to-favour-road-tolls/">bridge tolls</a> would have secured a few votes in Fife. Glenrothes in particular is within comfortable commuting distance of both Edinburgh and Dundee, meaning that many residents will be frequent users of both the Forth and Tay Road Bridges. The fact that the voters of Glenrothes in particular have given the SNP the cold shoulder is a major snub.</p>
<p>Nationalists may counter that Fife is fertile territory for Labour. Time and again I saw pundits on the television saying that Labour benefited from a &#8220;halo effect&#8221; spilling over into Glenrothes. Fifers, apparently, are proud that Gordon Brown is Prime Minister.</p>
<p>Let me just say, as someone who has lived in Fife all my life, that this is a complete load of tosh. Since Gordon Brown became Prime Minister, I have never heard anyone say that they are proud that the PM is a Fifer. In fact, I have sometimes heard people wonder out aloud how it could possibly be that Kirkcaldy can have such high unemployment when the Prime Minister represents the constituency. (I once heard someone say, referring to the perceived unwillingness of Gordon Brown to help his local area, that Kirkcaldy has the highest rate of unemployment in the country, although I doubt that.)</p>
<p>Fife is not Labour loopy. Yesterday there was the opportunity for three of the four constituencies in Fife to be represented by a party other than Labour, leaving just Gordon Brown&#8217;s seat in tact. That didn&#8217;t happen. But the fact is that the Kingdom of Fife has the capacity to elect any one of three parties. As such, Glenrothes&#8217;s decision to vote for Labour should not simply be batted away because it was supposedly as &#8220;safe seat&#8221;. According to Alex Salmond, there is no such thing as a safe Labour seat these days, and Glenrothes certainly wasn&#8217;t one for the reasons outlined above.</p>
<p>The SNP may complain about the negativity of Labour&#8217;s campaign. But they should be alarmed that it worked. In retrospect, the decision of the SNP to select Fife Council leader Peter Grant as candidate must be seen as a major tactical error. The Labour Party was able to tap into some real dissatisfaction that people have with Fife Council at the moment.</p>
<p>Because of the complexities of this situation, it is not exactly clear what message the voters were sending out. There is no doubt that there was a message of some sort. But was it a verdict on the Labour government in Westminster? Was it a vote of confidence in Gordon Brown? Was it about sending a message to Holyrood? Or was it about punishing the leader of Fife Council?</p>
<p>Whichever, the SNP should take this seriously. I have no reason to doubt that they will, and the reaction from SNP members&#8217; blogs is sober and reflective (see, for instance, <a href="http://scotsandindependent.blogspot.com/2008/11/roth-of-gods.html">Richard Thomson</a>). There was some real evidence that the SNP were becoming complacent with their position. In the run-up to the election it was looking as though the SNP was giddy on power.</p>
<p>Alex Salmond&#8217;s supreme confidence was completely misplaced. And his attempt to <a href="http://holyroodchronicles.blogspot.com/2008/11/yes-we-can.html">attach himself to Barack Obama&#8217;s election</a> as US President was crass in the extreme. Voters can smell this sort of thing a mile off, and I&#8217;d be amazed if it didn&#8217;t cost the SNP votes.</p>
<p>It is no longer enough to rely on the dissatisfaction with the Labour Party that many people have. With Labour&#8217;s vote having gone up, it&#8217;s pretty clear that they benefited from some serious tactical voting, with the Conservatives and the Lib Dems being squeezed. If this election shows anything, it is that while Labour are unpopular among many voters, the SNP are also loathed among many others.</p>
<p>A word on the Lib Dems, who <a href="http://anything-caron-can-do.blogspot.com/2008/11/ouch-that-was-bloody-painful.html">must be</a> <a href="http://carons-musings.blogspot.com/2008/11/glenrothes-post-game-analysis.html">very disappointed</a>. For the second Scottish by-election in a row, they have come in fourth and lost their deposit. Glenrothes is practically sandwiched in between two Lib Dem constituencies &#8212; Dunfermline and West Fife and North East Fife. While there is no reason to automatically assume that the Lib Dems should therefore win Glenrothes, they must be disappointed by their complete inertia just now.</p>
<p>It is tough for smaller parties in by-elections anyway. But the current political climate cannot be doing them many favours. Despite PR, Scotland is beginning to look a bit like a two party system. In the 2007 Scottish Parliament elections, one of the biggest changes was the almost complete disappearance of the small parties. Now it looks as though both the Conservatives and the Lib Dems are wilting in a highly charged political atmosphere that pits the SNP versus Labour, leaving little room for much else.</p>
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		<title>The paradox of the paradox of voting</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/10/25/the-paradox-of-the-paradox-of-voting/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/10/25/the-paradox-of-the-paradox-of-voting/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2008 13:19:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Current affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[john mccain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[paradox of voting]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Presidential election]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=2508</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I wrote my dissertation about the paradox of voting, which is the problem that rational choice theorists have in explaining why people vote. You are more likely to be killed on the way to the polling station than affect the result once you&#8217;re inside it &#8212; so why vote? The puzzle interested me as soon [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wrote my <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/proposed-solutions-to-the-paradox-of-voting-an-assessment-of-the-role-of-economics-in-explaining-why-people-vote/">dissertation</a> about the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paradox_of_voting">paradox of voting</a>, which is the problem that rational choice theorists have in explaining why people vote. You are more likely to be killed on the way to the polling station than affect the result once you&#8217;re inside it &#8212; so why vote? The puzzle interested me as soon as I heard of it and I still often think about it.</p>
<p>The answer is that people take into account not just the instrumental benefits of voting. They also take into account a variety of factors that can be loosely gathered under the umbrella term of &#8220;civic duty&#8221;. The benefits that people get from performing their civic duty outweigh the costs of voting.</p>
<p>But what about people who clearly go way beyond the call of civic duty? This guy <a href="http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/24/on-the-trail-republican-drives-600-miles-to-vote-for-obama/">travelled 600 miles just to vote</a> in the US Presidential election (<a href="http://thesoundofgunfire.blogspot.com/2008/10/thats-dedication-for-you.html">via Bernard Salmon</a>).</p>
<p>That is a puzzle to me. But it is clear that this election is enthusing people to an extent that may never have been seen before. Barack Obama in particular is said to have engaged young people and black people in the US political process like never before. Early voting numbers are reported to be high. And now a person whose family has voted Republican for three generations has driven 600 miles to vote for Barack Obama.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s worth remembering that it&#8217;s not just Obama that is creating this extra interest. I heard a woman on the radio a few days ago saying that she will be voting for the first time in her life &#8212; for John McCain. She doesn&#8217;t trust Obama because of his inexperience.</p>
<p>It looks like the USA sees itself as being at an important cross-roads, for a whole host of reasons. They want to get this decision right.</p>
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		<title>Insight into Republican America</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/10/11/insight-into-republican-america/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/10/11/insight-into-republican-america/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Oct 2008 15:42:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Current affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[john mccain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[racism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[YouTube]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=2487</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is an interesting video of some happenings at a Republican rally yesterday. It&#8217;s difficult to tell exactly what John McCain&#8217;s strategy is now. Just a few days ago Barack Obama was just &#8220;that one&#8221; to Mr McCain. Now the Republican nominee seems to be going well out of his way to be polite about [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is an interesting video of some happenings at a Republican rally yesterday.</p>
<p><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/Kf6YKOkfFsE&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/Kf6YKOkfFsE&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></p>
<p>It&#8217;s difficult to tell exactly what John McCain&#8217;s strategy is now. Just a few days ago Barack Obama was just &#8220;that one&#8221; to Mr McCain. Now the Republican nominee seems to be going well out of his way to be polite about Mr Obama to the point that he is getting booed for it by a Republican crowd. I guess McCain just doesn&#8217;t know whether to lay into Obama or start appearing to be more bipartisan. Maybe it is desperation and he just doesn&#8217;t know what to do now.</p>
<p>Anyway, what interests me most about the video is the little chat at the end with a woman who says she can&#8217;t trust Obama because he&#8217;s an Arab. The all-new fluffy McCain must have wanted to floor to eat him up at that moment. McCain&#8217;s retort is, &#8220;No ma&#8217;am. He&#8217;s a decent family man who I just happen to have disagreements with.&#8221;</p>
<p>There is the factual inaccuracy of the woman&#8217;s beliefs about Obama&#8217;s background, which is what McCain decided to pick apart. But there is also the sheer naked racism of it.</p>
<p>Something great is happening with this US Presidential election. The USA will soon have either a non-white President or a female Vice-President. Whichever, it is a great stride ahead for America. Brits can sometimes be quite smug about this sort of thing when it comes to comparing Britain to America. But you have to say that the chances of America having a non-white President sometime soon is much greater than the chances of Britain having a non-white Prime Minister.</p>
<p>But it looks like they will still have a long way to go until they can elect an Arab.</p>
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		<title>White Elephants and Ridiculous Asses</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/09/06/white-elephants-and-ridiculous-asses/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/09/06/white-elephants-and-ridiculous-asses/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 00:01:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Current affairs]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=2401</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s loathsome and it comes around once every four years. No, I&#8217;m not talking about the Olympics. I&#8217;m on about American politics. A lot of people get themselves really jazzed with American politics. I mean, I get it &#8212; the President of the USA is an important person, so it&#8217;s good to keep up with [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s loathsome and it comes around once every four years. No, I&#8217;m not talking about the <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/08/09/why-i-cant-stand-the-olympics-and-the-snp/">Olympics</a>. I&#8217;m on about American politics.</p>
<p>A lot of people get themselves really jazzed with American politics. I mean, I get it &#8212; the President of the USA is an important person, so it&#8217;s good to keep up with events. But some people actually seem to enjoy it. Are they sadists?</p>
<p>For the past two weeks my favourite radio programme <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/fivelive/programmes/upallnight.shtml">Up All Night</a> has been hijacked by these American politicos talking enormous amounts of horsey-poo. <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio/podcasts/drkarl/">Dr Karl&#8217;s excellent science podcast</a> was this week unbearably difficult to listen to because presenter Rhod Sharp was sitting there in Denver surrounded by lots of people cheering. (To add insult to injury, the podcast was less than half the length it normally is.)</p>
<p>The thing about these party conventions in America is that they always seem so detached from reality. I know this is not an original comparison, but it really is like pantomime. A politician can say the most banal, boring thing with a clumsy delivery, but the crowd will still cheer and applaud like crazy. Bring up the enemy and they boo and hiss. And at the end of the day you will still be no clearer about what anyone will actually do if they are elected.</p>
<p>And speaking of the applause, and the cheering and the whooping. What is with it? I wandered into a room that had the Democratic Convention on the television last week. All that was happening was some kind of upbeat music was playing, and the people were cheering and whooping and dancing. I must have been in the room for three or four minutes. I left before anyone actually uttered a single word. I mean, what is this? The world&#8217;s biggest laughter therapy class?</p>
<p>When I see stuff like that, it just makes me think everyone that is sitting in that room is delusional. John McCain is never just John McCain. He is always, always, &#8220;The Next President Of The United States Of America, John McCain&#8221;. What makes them so sure? That is just cocky. I would kind of get it if it was obvious he was going to win, but even then it is like tempting fate. When Neil Kinnock tried it here in 1992 he got hammered. So why does this stuff sit well in the USA? Perhaps it is one of those things where they think, &#8220;If I say it often enough it will become true.&#8221;</p>
<p>Maybe I&#8217;m old-fashioned, but I think politics should be about the issues. At least in Britain the parties pretend to talk about policies during their conferences. In America, party conventions just put too much emphasis on the razzmatazz. It&#8217;s all about the glitz and the glamour. Then there is the emotive nature of it all. Most of it seems to be about tugging on the heart-strings, and they&#8217;re not very subtle about it. It&#8217;s just too saccharine for me.</p>
<p>I am certainly glad I don&#8217;t live in America so that I have to actually face to prospect of having to pay attention to all of this nonsense. If you ask me, it is no surprise that turnout in the USA is so low. I would hardly be overjoyed by the prospect of choosing between the White Elephants Party and the Ridiculous Asses Party.</p>
<p>It is true that politicians can be quite off-putting here in Britain as well. But at least they put me off because of what they say. American politicians put me off because of what they do and how they present themselves.</p>
<p>What gets me is the fact that they think I would be impressed with any of the sort of silly things they do at conventions. It&#8217;s like when they get a group of people to stand behind the speaker. I think it&#8217;s meant to look like he&#8217;s so popular that he&#8217;s always got scores of people standing around him. In actual fact it looks like the speaker is facing the wrong way without realising it.</p>
<p>When Michelle Obama started speaking at the Democratic Convention, all of these placards suddenly appeared from within the audience. It looked like there were hundreds of them. &#8220;MICHELLE&#8221;, they said. Why was that? Were they worried she was going to forget her name? Why don&#8217;t they make her check the inside of her underpants like the rest of us have to?</p>
<p><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/790hG6qBPx0&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/790hG6qBPx0&#038;hl=en&#038;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></p>
<p>I only include the video to prove the point about the placards. Don&#8217;t watch the whole video &#8212; it only encourages them. Incidentally, the first word is not even uttered until 1:19.</p>
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		<title>In defence of abstention</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/06/30/in-defence-of-abstention/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/06/30/in-defence-of-abstention/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Jun 2008 15:26:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Current affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[voting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[winston-churchill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zimbabwe]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=2254</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yet again, the comments to a previous post have gone on an interesting tangent. Once again Jeff was behind it. He&#8217;s not afraid to get stuck into a debate and he always has some interesting points to share, even though I don&#8217;t always agree with him! I thought the discussion was quite good so I [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yet again, the comments to <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/06/20/student-apathy/">a previous post</a> have gone on an interesting tangent. Once again <a href="http://snptacticalvoting.blogspot.com/">Jeff</a> was behind it. He&#8217;s not afraid to get stuck into a debate and he always has some interesting points to share, even though I don&#8217;t always agree with him! I thought the discussion was quite good so I want to share some of it in a new post and also expand on my thinking behind abstention and why it is not a bad thing.</p>
<p>Before I start I should point out that I have never abstained in an election that was at local government level or above. In fact, in the local government elections last year I listed a whopping four preferences. Not bad for a cynic! (Having said that, it was admittedly for negative reasons &#8212; I wanted to vote for everyone except Labour).</p>
<p>Nonetheless, I struggle nowadays to understand why abstainers are so vilified, as though they are sub-human. I think sometimes people conflate abstention with apathy. In reality it is perfectly consistent to be interested in politics and yet not vote when the election comes round.</p>
<p>In <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/06/20/student-apathy/#comment-583179">his first comment</a> Jeff said:</p>
<blockquote><p>I find it incredible that someone can maintain such a thoughtful and intelligent political blog with all these numerous opinions and then, when an election comes around, he may not take part.</p></blockquote>
<p>Compare and contrast with <a href="http://jamesomalley.co.uk/blog/">James O&#8217;Malley&#8217;s</a> <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/06/20/student-apathy/#comment-578694">comment</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>I think your experiences of becoming more apathetic with age &#8211; essentially more apathetic as you became better informed &#8211; are pretty similar for a lot of people. I’ve just finished a degree in International Relations, and as a consequence of learning what a horrible bleak mess the world is, I think we all became cynical about almost anything political.</p></blockquote>
<p>I have gone through a similar process. Being interested in elections and voting behaviour, whenever there was an opportunity to study them at university I took it. I wrote my dissertation on what motivates people to vote. The whole learning experience has led me to become less likely to vote and more sympathetic towards abstainers.</p>
<p>(As an aside, if anyone&#8217;s interested, I have decided to upload <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/proposed-solutions-to-the-paradox-of-voting-an-assessment-of-the-role-of-economics-in-explaining-why-people-vote/">my dissertation here</a> since it got the best mark of anything I ever did at university so I feel quite good about it! So if you&#8217;re interested and you have a bit of spare time, have a read and you might get a bit more insight into my current thinking about voting.)</p>
<p>In short, Jeff asked why someone like me would not vote despite knowing so much about politics. What slipped his mind was the possibility that someone like me would not vote <em>because</em> they know so much about politics.</p>
<p>For a few months now I have been meaning to outline a few problems with elections and democracy as we know it (this post isn&#8217;t it by the way, it&#8217;s still coming). This is not because I am not a democrat, because I am. However, I am disappointed in the poor standard of analysis of democracy. Discussions about it frequently descend into a list of clichés and slogans. It leads me to think that most people are democrats because of blind faith rather than because they have actually thought about it.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s a dangerous situation to be in because it breeds complacency. The flaws of democracy are constantly swept under the carpet. But the only way to improve things is to put the flaws on a pedestal and debate them properly. Simply pulling out that hoary old Churchill quote doesn&#8217;t bring us any further forward.</p>
<p>That was the case in the comments to the post about student apathy. All I said was that I understood why some people would not vote. Before I knew it, commenters made out that I was advocating something resembling anarchy, I had no right to complain if I didn&#8217;t vote, I was doing an injustice to the people of Zimbabwe, and, yes, that bloody Churchill quote was wheeled out. A who&#8217;s who of clichéd arguments that get us no further forward.</p>
<p><a href="http://bellgrovebelle.blogspot.com/">Bellgrove Belle</a> began proceedings by <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/06/20/student-apathy/#comment-580346">advocating compulsory voting</a> &#8212; albeit with a &#8216;none of the above&#8217; option (how gracious of you!!). I let that slip by at the time, but only because I didn&#8217;t want to go down that tangent. However, now that I have started a separate post I will outline why compulsory voting is the most outrageous idea.</p>
<p>Firstly &#8212; and this should hardly need pointing out &#8212; people are not the servants of politicians. Yet. Politicians are the servants of the people. Having a government frogmarching everyone to the polling station is not my idea of freedom. The point about the right to vote is that it is a right. That means that you can choose to use it or not. If you are forced to vote, it is no longer a right &#8212; it is an oppression.</p>
<p>A vital principle of our liberal way of life is that people know for themselves what is best in almost all instances unless their actions cause harm to others. If people do not vote, it is not because they are wrong (which is a view typically only found among political elites). It is because, for the abstainers, it is costly to go out and vote. And if it is costly for an individual, in turn it is costly to society.</p>
<p>Beyond the cost of sending everyone out to vote, what is wrong with just leaving people be? People should be perfectly entitled to abstain if they want. Forcing people to do things they do not want to do will only breed even more cynicism and apathy.</p>
<p>Having a &#8216;none of the above&#8217; option is the ridiculous fig leaf to all of these criticisms. There is already a none of the above option. People know very well that they can spoil their paper when they get to the polling station. If people were screaming out for a none of the above option, we would know it by now.</p>
<p>I have only ever heard compulsory voting being advocated by two groups of people: politicians and aspiring politicians. It is funny that these people should select the one &#8216;solution&#8217; to apathy that is almost guaranteed to give them more votes. What a coincidence! Moreover, it is the lazy option for them to choose. It implies that it is the voters who have done wrong, which is a very undemocratic stance to take in actual fact. For politicians, the idea that it is they themselves who have caused apathy &#8212; and that it is their job to fix it &#8212; is too difficult for them to comprehend, so it seems.</p>
<p>Jeff was next up, suggesting that the logical conclusion of my defending abstention for an individual is advocating mass abstention. Nothing could be further from the truth. Indeed, it is the very fact that others vote in their millions that makes abstention as an individual a reasonable option.</p>
<p>If no-one else voted then I would find the voting decision very easy &#8212; I would cast the deciding vote, probably for myself. We don&#8217;t live in that world, and my stance is a pragmatic recognition of that fact.</p>
<p>There is that old guilt trip: &#8220;what if everyone else thought like you?&#8221; The point is that not everyone does think like me. And it would be rather egotistical of me to think that my actions would be copied <i>en masse</i> by the population as a whole. If it were the case that I was so influential, I would find myself sharing the same bed with six and a half billion others every night. <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/06/magazine/06freak.html?_r=1&#038;oref=slogin">As Stephen Dubner and Steven Levitt point out</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Imagine that you and your 8-year-old daughter are taking a walk through a botanical garden when she suddenly pulls a bright blossom off a tree.</p>
<p>&#8220;You shouldn&#8217;t do that,&#8221; you find yourself saying.</p>
<p>&#8220;Why not?&#8221; she asks.</p>
<p>&#8220;Well,&#8221; you reason, &#8220;because if everyone picked one, there wouldn&#8217;t be any flowers left at all.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Yeah, but everybody <em>isn&#8217;t</em> picking them,&#8221; she says with a look. &#8220;Only me.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Then Jeff pulls out that old one &#8212; if you&#8217;re so dissatisfied with the candidates, why don&#8217;t you stand yourself? The answer, I would have thought, should be obvious. Standing for election would involve immense personal financial and other costs. I would have to give up my job to dedicate enough time to campaigning, meaning a loss of income. Then I would have to somehow fund the campaign itself.</p>
<p>On top of that, I would probably lose my deposit. The political system is heavily biased in favour of the large parties &#8212; partly because of the voting system, partly because of the media and whatever else. The fact is that if you want to be successful in an election you almost always need the backing of a big party machine.</p>
<p>Independent candidates are successful from time to time, and small parties do break through. But in reality these are all led by either someone with a lot of money or a celebrity figure like Tommy Sheridan or Martin Bell. The other successful independents are single-issue (often local-issue) candidates, and I am interested in more than one local issue.</p>
<p>The point I am making is that were I to stand for election tomorrow, no matter how good my policies were, I would have almost no chance of making any kind of impact whatsoever. Am I supposed to believe, as Jeff suggests, that this is the extent of my democratic powers? You can&#8217;t exactly blame someone for not doing this when the odds are so heavily stacked against them.</p>
<p>Get ready for another cliché now. &#8220;If you don&#8217;t vote, you don&#8217;t have the right to complain.&#8221; Aaah, <i>*tick*</i>.</p>
<p>This is one of the oldest ones in the book. Yet even though it&#8217;s a catchy slogan, what is always omitted is exactly the reason why you don&#8217;t have the right to complain. Is that because there isn&#8217;t one?</p>
<p>Democracy is about so much more than elections. For sure, an election is a vital cog in the democratic process, but it is just one cog among many. China has elections, but that doesn&#8217;t make it a democracy. Just this week we have witnessed a sham election in Zimbabwe.</p>
<p>I would think that the idea that elections are the only valid form of political participation in a democracy would come as a surprise to the many pressure groups, non-governmental organisations, media outlets, publishers, think tanks, academics, mass demonstrators, lone protesters, letter writers, bloggers even, and others &#8212; all of whom play a vital role in a democracy. Is it <em>really</em> more valid to enact change &#8220;from within&#8221;? Then we are to do away with all of these vital elements of civic society? Are these people all supposed to stand for election as well? Are they harassed about their voting behaviour before being permitted to speak up?</p>
<p>Democracy is so much more than putting an X in a box. It is about speaking out, debating and persuading. If you have next to no power in the ballot box, what is so illegitimate about using a different method of trying to improve the world? I think that suggesting that people don&#8217;t have a right to speak out because they recognise that their vote is near worthless is actually an intensely anti-democratic view to take.</p>
<p>Jeff&#8217;s position is apparently to say that the only valid way I have to express myself is to vote for someone, even if it is the &#8220;least worst&#8221; candidate. Am I really supposed to believe that the extent of my democratic rights is to vote Lib Dem instead of Labour?</p>
<p>Even when I do express a preference in the polling booth, that vote is a drop in the ocean. My reasons for voting are lost among those of thousands of other voters (or, in a national election, millions of others), each of whom voted for different reasons. The politician then cherry-picks the reasons that suit his agenda best. So what have I achieved by voting?</p>
<p>I can say that the time I have spent voting is a waste when I could have spent that time engaging in another democratic activity. For instance, I could have spent that time writing here. That way I can articulate my views in an infinitely more nuanced way than I would by voting. This makes my voice louder than it otherwise would have been. I believe that I can make more of a difference by doing this. What would be so illegitimate about that?</p>
<p>This is all without even getting into the instance where you genuinely are undecided. If a voter is guilt-tripped or compelled to haul himself into the polling station, what is he supposed to do? Toss a coin? Close his eyes and see where the pencil lands? Given that your vote is essentially a way of enforcing your views onto other people, I am amazed that anyone thinks that the decision to vote should be taken so lightly.</p>
<p>Finally came the guilt trip from <a href="http://ideasofcivilisation.blogspot.com/">Ideas of Civilisation</a>. He <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/06/20/student-apathy/#comment-586464">brought up</a> the current situation in Zimbabwe saying, &#8220;it’s a reminder of the freedoms, and responsibilities, we have here.&#8221;</p>
<p>The thing is, I believe that recent events in Zimbabwe support my view. Morgan Tsvangirai pulled out of the contest because the election was a &#8220;violent sham&#8221;. Was that illegitimate? Or should he have contested the election because otherwise he doesn&#8217;t have the right to criticise? Of course not. His voice is louder outside the contest and he has made the point about the current situation in Zimbabwe very forcefully. It is a perfect example of making one&#8217;s voice heard outside of official electoral channels.</p>
<p>Of course, the situation in Zimbabwe is very different to the situation we face in this country and other, freer, more democratic countries. I suspect the point IoC was making about Zimbabwe was that, in such countries whenever there is a free election is usually has a comparatively high turnout.</p>
<p>That is right, although it is a very different situation. When you are given hope in the shape of an inspiring candidate you are bound to grab it with both hands. That is the case even more so if the bandwagon theory (discussed in my dissertation) is true &#8212; people want to feel a part of making a big change so will take part in the vote.</p>
<p>You don&#8217;t have to live in an unfree country for such a thing to happen, so that doesn&#8217;t put this country&#8217;s politicians off the hook. Barack Obama is currently doing it in the USA by engaging certain parts of the electorate at levels that have never been achieved before. It&#8217;s just that right now there is no such candidate in this country.</p>
<p>Back to the unfree country though. Even in the hypothetical watershed election that brings everyone hope, turnout will not be 100%. It might be higher than the turnouts we see in this country, but it will be nowhere near 100%. In fact, if turnout was anywhere close to 100% accusations of vote rigging will be flying.</p>
<p>This fact demonstrates that abstention is a perfectly natural and legitimate position to take in an election. In fact, it serves a very useful function in a democracy. Any attempts to eradicate it should be viewed with as much suspicion as attempts to eradicate any other political view.</p>
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		<title>Obama or Nobama?</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/04/14/obama-or-nobama/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/04/14/obama-or-nobama/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Apr 2008 23:19:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/?p=2232</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It was my turn to write this week&#8217;s Scottish Roundup (nominations always welcome of course, even if it&#8217;s nothing to do with politics). I keep an eye on the Scottish blogs throughout the week in preparation, and towards the end of the week it became pretty clear that one particular wee stooshie had to be [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It was my turn to write <a href="http://scottishroundup.co.uk/2008/04/13/olympics-and-obama/">this week&#8217;s Scottish Roundup</a> (nominations always welcome of course, even if it&#8217;s nothing to do with politics). I keep an eye on the Scottish blogs throughout the week in preparation, and towards the end of the week it became pretty clear that one particular wee stooshie had to be covered.</p>
<p>Labour blogger Kezia Dugdale has been <a href="http://keziadugdale.blogspot.com/2008/04/scotland-for-obama-2008.html">involved in a campaign called Scotland for Obama</a>. SNP blogger <a href="http://calumcashley.blogspot.com/2008/04/odammit.html">Calum Cashley was none too impressed</a>. Then a <a href="http://snptacticalvoting.blogspot.com/2008/04/unfortunate-state-of-affairs.html">number</a> <a href="http://politicaldissuasion.blogspot.com/2008/04/note-to-calum-cashley.html">of other</a> <a href="http://malcintheburgh.blogspot.com/2008/04/spewing-vitriol.html">bloggers</a> &#8212; SNP supporters among them &#8212; decided to take Calum Cashley to task.</p>
<p>I have to confess that I&#8217;m not a great fan of Calum Cashley&#8217;s blog. To me, it seems unnecessarily confrontational, negative, sarcastic and maybe even a bit boorish. It&#8217;s certainly not the sort of thing that would persuade me to vote for him come election time. But despite the response to his most recent post, in this instance I&#8217;m probably more inclined to agree with Cashley.</p>
<p>Maybe it&#8217;s just a reflection of my increasingly anti-political or apolitical (certainly in terms of party politics) viewpoint (I will consider the roots of this in a future post if I can get round to it). But there is something about the amount of attention that the US Presidential election receives that rubs me up the wrong way a bit. It&#8217;s not that I don&#8217;t recognise that the position of US President isn&#8217;t an incredibly powerful one. But political campaigns in general are starting to really get my goat.</p>
<p>Mostly, it is the implication that a campaign like Scotland for Obama will make a difference. It just comes across as a bit attention seeking. &#8220;Look at me and look at how much I care!&#8221;</p>
<p>I am pretty sceptical of most political campaigning. Of course, I have my views. But I have never joined a club, I&#8217;ve never gone on a demonstration and I&#8217;ve never worn any political t-shirts. This is because I know it will make next to no difference.</p>
<p>Come election time, of course, I love it. I stay up all night to watch the results. It&#8217;s great fun to cheer on the good guys and boo the baddies. As <a href="http://snptacticalvoting.blogspot.com/">Jeff says in the tagline to his blog</a>, &#8220;Elections &#8211; Probably the Best Spectator Sport in the World&#8221;. But beyond that, what does political campaigning mean?</p>
<p>Do I need to go on a rally to prove how much I care? Not really. Will the Scotland for Obama campaign make a jot of difference to the outcome of the election? I hardly think so. In fact, as Calum Cashley rightly points out, if enough Americans find out that those pinko Europeans are campaigning in Obama&#8217;s favour, if anything it will probably have a <em>negative</em> effect.</p>
<p>I am not sure it&#8217;s my position to tell Americans how to vote anyway. I know it has been pointed out in the posts I have linked to above that Scotland for Obama is not intended to tell Americans how to vote. But the point still stands.</p>
<p>Imagine if the boot was on another foot. What if somewhere in America a group of people gathered to express their support for, say, David Cameron. What would you think of it? I would think they were the most enormous fools. I would roll my eyes. I might ignore them. But it would more likely make me even less inclined to vote for Cameron.</p>
<p>The thing is that our viewpoint is unquestionably altered by the fact that we don&#8217;t live in America. The issues, the agenda and the political climate are completely different over there.</p>
<p>I know that whenever I have heard visiting foreign students express an opinion about Scottish politics (there is no shortage of this in the Edinburgh Uni politics department) it has often been the most ill-informed bum drizzle. You can&#8217;t blame them for that. They cannot possibly have as good a feel for the issues as someone like me who has barely set foot out of Scotland. They are projecting their views on American (or whatever) politics onto a map of Scotland. But it&#8217;s a square peg in a round hole.</p>
<p>I recognise that the same phenomenon would occur in reverse. In deference to this, I mostly keep my viewpoints on other countries&#8217; politics to myself. I have my own opinions, of course. I do care what goes on in other countries. But you wouldn&#8217;t find me going around the place wearing an Obama badge or anything like that.</p>
<p>I have done a few of those online quizzes that tell you which candidate you should vote for. The results are <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2007/11/24/a-bit-of-fun-with-us-politics/">here</a> and <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/01/06/some-more-fun-with-us-politics/">here</a>. When I did those quizzes though, there were a number of questions that I didn&#8217;t have the first clue about. In some cases I had not even heard of the issues and I couldn&#8217;t possibly have an opinion on them.</p>
<p>The same even applies when you&#8217;re in the same country. When I tried out <a href="http://london.votematch.net/VoteMatchLondon/index.html">Vote Match London</a> about a quarter of the questions were about issues that I had never heard of, and half of the questions I had no opinion on whatsoever. For what it&#8217;s worth, it told me that I should vote for Boris Johnson. Would I vote for Boris Johnson if I was an actual Londoner? I simply don&#8217;t know <em>because I&#8217;m not a Londoner</em>.</p>
<p>And here is the thing. I am sure that London does not need my help to elect their Mayor. Equally, the USA does not need to hear my views on the Presidential campaign. An argument against this has been <a href="http://politicaldissuasion.blogspot.com/2008/04/note-to-calum-cashley.html">put forward by Political Dissuasion</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Would you criticise me for organising a rally against Robert Mugabe&#8217;s treatment of the people of Zimbabwe, where people are dying, starving and being jailed for actions and rights that you and I take take for granted?</p></blockquote>
<p>There is quite a noticeable difference between the USA and Zimbabwe. One of them is democratic and the other is not. For all of its faults, at least in the USA there is a reasonable expectation of free speech, a reasonably free press, reasonably free markets and so on. None of this exists in Zimbabwe. So the people of Zimbabwe need international support so much more. Even then, I would limit myself to saying that I think Zimbabwe should be freer. Once they have the &#8220;rights that you and I take for granted&#8221;, I am sure they will be able to conduct their own affairs without the help of the likes of me.</p>
<p>The USA needs no help in this regard. They have their freedoms that they take for granted. If I were to stick my nose in, I would most likely be batted away. And if an American sticks his nose into my country&#8217;s politics, I would bat him away as well.</p>
<p>There is the other argument that US politics affects us all, which I suppose is true to an extent. But does it <em>really</em> affect us? I have my doubts. The likely winners of the election are much of a muchness. People like to pluck out the Iraq War as an example of how much American politics affects us, but these people forget that most Democrats were all for invading Iraq at the time as well!</p>
<p>Incidentally, I do have an opinion on the US Presidential candidates. As it happens, I favour Barack Obama. But I don&#8217;t pretend that this is based on any nuanced policy view. It is based on the fact that John McCain is a baad, baad Republican and that Hilary Clinton is a screeching maniac. Honestly, Clinton drives me nuts. She is like that teacher you could hear giving someone a row from the opposite end of the corridor.</p>
<p>There are other reasons, <a href="http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/01/15/experience-vs-change/">which I covered here</a>. I really dislike the tone of Clinton&#8217;s campaign. You can just tell that she came into the campaign thinking she had a divine right to be President. The message of experience is total bunk. Her sumtotal of experience is limited to being married to a former President. Big wow.</p>
<p>At least Obama&#8217;s message is more positive. But here is another area where I agree with Calum Cashley. If the American public buys into all of the hope rhetoric, it is lining itself up for disappointment. We have seen this in Britain in the 1990s. Labour pulled off the exact same trick. &#8220;I&#8217;m here to save you from those awful conservatives!&#8221; Well we all know how that turned out.</p>
<p>The truth is harsher. No matter who you vote for, the government gets in. I&#8217;d love to see Barack Obama usher in a new era of hope for America. But if he actually does it I&#8217;ll eat my hat.</p>
<p>All of that said, I don&#8217;t criticise Kezia Dugdale or anyone else for getting involved in Scotland for Obama. It is a harmless campaign and if the people involved get a buzz out of participating then that is all good. We are all adults living in a democracy. By the same token, Calum Cashley is perfectly entitled to chip in, and I don&#8217;t think the points he made were as awful as some people are making out.</p>
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		<title>Experience vs change</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/01/15/experience-vs-change/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/01/15/experience-vs-change/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jan 2008 17:37:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/2008/01/15/experience-vs-change/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There is a row in the USA at the moment between the Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama camps. Sadly, someone somewhere along the line has played the race card. Hillary Clinton&#8217;s comments about the Civil Rights Act have been called into question. I doubt Hillary Clinton intended to belittle Martin Luther King&#8217;s role. But Hillary [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is a row in the USA at the moment between the Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama camps. Sadly, someone somewhere along the line has played the race card. Hillary Clinton&#8217;s <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/15/us/politics/15dems.html?ref=politics">comments about the Civil Rights Act</a> have been called into question.</p>
<p>I doubt Hillary Clinton intended to belittle Martin Luther King&#8217;s role. But Hillary Clinton&#8217;s comments nevertheless piss me off.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.cassilis.co.uk/blog.html">Cassilis says Clinton was making a fair point</a>. But to say &#8220;it took a President&#8221; to pass the Civil Rights Act is banal. It isn&#8217;t exactly headline news that you need a President to pass legislation in the USA. I hardly believe Barack Obama &#8212; or any of the other Democratic candidates &#8212; dispute it. So what was the point of her saying it?</p>
<p>Well, I am assuming this is yet another angle in her crusade to persuade everyone how experienced she is. She keeps on banging on and on about her experience as if she is in the running to become leader of the Chinese Communist Party rather than President of the United States.</p>
<p>But what experience does she have? Well, she has been a Senator since 2001 &#8212; for years longer than Obama. But Obama has also been a member of the Illinois State Senate for seven years prior to that. So it looks to me as though Barack Obama has roughly equal (if we decide to give a higher weight to the US Senate) or slightly more experience at actually being a politician, as opposed to just being married to one.</p>
<p>But I presume it is her famous husband whom Hillary Clinton is evoking whenever she refers to &#8220;her&#8221; &#8220;experience&#8221;. This is what really annoys me about Clinton. She comes across as though she thinks she has a right to be President because of her surname. But is it really wise to elect someone on the basis of whom they are married to?</p>
<p>If voters buy into the Clinton mantra of experience, it may mean that really people want Bill Clinton to become President through the back door. In this case it makes a mockery of the constitution, and the maximum of two terms that Presidents can have. No doubt Putin will be trying this trick soon.</p>
<p>Let us assume that Hillary Clinton goes all the way, becomes President and serves two terms. By the end of that, it will have been almost <em>three entire decades</em> since the US had known a President who wasn&#8217;t either a Bush or a Clinton.</p>
<p>It does amuse me. Some Americans like to go on about how they are proud that they don&#8217;t have a Royal Family because they believe that power should not run through the family. But then they go ahead and elect people from the same families anyway. The difference is that Britain&#8217;s Royal family doesn&#8217;t actually have any real power.</p>
<p>And I have got through this entire post without even mentioning the Kennedy family yet.</p>
<p>For this reason, I find Barack Obama&#8217;s main message of &#8216;change&#8217; much more appealing than Clinton&#8217;s message of &#8216;experience&#8217;. On the basis of the slogans and the simplified, dumbed-down political debates, Barack Obama ought to win this campaign hands down.</p>
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		<title>A bit of fun with US politics</title>
		<link>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2007/11/24/a-bit-of-fun-with-us-politics/</link>
		<comments>http://doctorvee.co.uk/2007/11/24/a-bit-of-fun-with-us-politics/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Nov 2007 15:44:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Duncan Stephen</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://doctorvee.co.uk/2007/11/24/a-bit-of-fun-with-us-politics/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I came across another of those political quizzes. This one matches you up with the US Presidential candidates. It&#8217;s quite smart. You can choose which topics you&#8217;re interested in by distributing 20 points among 14 categories. I gave one point to each category then bumped up a few areas where I feel strongest. It then [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I came across another of those political quizzes. This one <a href="http://glassbooth.org/">matches you up with the US Presidential candidates</a>. It&#8217;s quite smart.</p>
<p>You can choose which topics you&#8217;re interested in by distributing 20 points among 14 categories. I gave one point to each category then bumped up a few areas where I feel strongest. It then gives you a set of questions based on those topics.</p>
<p>Once you&#8217;ve answered them, it ranks the Presidential candidates in order of similarity. You can go right into each question and see how each of the candidates would answer each question, with all kinds of quotes, voting records and suchlike to back it up.</p>
<p>Of course, it&#8217;s not very fair for me to be waxing lyrical about American politics. I have never set foot in the country, and chances are I could have different views on American political issues if I actually lived there. A lot of these are very US-centric questions rather than the big ideological picture.</p>
<p>Still, it is interesting to learn a bit more about the candidates. The names we all see are Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Ron Paul and Rudy Giuliani. Sometimes John McCain. It&#8217;s not often you hear of any of the others. But it&#8217;s important to learn about them.</p>
<p>I remember at around this stage of the last US Presidential election we were discussing the Democratic candidates in our modern studies class. Trying to work out which of the candidates were the most important, our teacher immediately scored off John Kerry because he was a no-hoper! (In retrospect, she was actually probably right.)</p>
<p>Anyway, the quiz. The candidate who comes out as most similar to me is someone I&#8217;ve never heard of before &#8212; Mike Gravel. We are 81% similar, with very similar views on drugs, civil liberties, gay rights, crime and punishment, abortion, environment and immigration. But we have dissimilar views on social security and economics.</p>
<p>Second is someone else I&#8217;ve never heard of &#8212; Christopher Dodd, with 75%. We are different on social security and very different on economics. Dennis Kucinich also has 75%, but we disagree on taxes and budget, social security and economics.</p>
<p>Of the big guns, Barack Obama is fourth with 74% (different on taxes and budget, social security and very different on crime and punishment (Obama supports the death penalty)). Hillary Clinton is 66% similar (different views on taxes and budget, drugs, social security and very different on crime and punishment).</p>
<p>All of the Democratic candidates score more highly than the Republican candidates. The top Republican candidate for me is Ron Paul &#8212; 9<sup>th</sup> with 61%. We have very similar views on drugs, civil liberties and crime and punishment, but very different views on immigration, health care and abortion.</p>
<p>Rudy Giuliani only comes out 13<sup>th</sup> with 47%. We have very similar views on environment and gun control, but very different views on gay rights, Iraq and foreign policy, health care, civil liberties, drugs and crime and punishment.</p>
<p>My least similar is my namesake, Duncan Hunter. We are only 30% similar, with similar views on social security (and even that is only because neither of us has an opinion on it).</p>
<p><a href="http://blahblahflowers.blogspot.com/2007/11/which-presidential-candidate-best.html">Via Blah Blah Flowers</a>.</p>
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